Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, March 4, 2022

March 4, 2022 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Awestamind 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Major King 8.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Risk Vs Reward 10.00 2 4-1
4 4 Sunspot 6.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Raff’s Venture 15.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Street Facts 2.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Capture Mi 15.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Awesome Crusader 4.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Bound Lucky 10.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 No Nannette No 4.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Cagua 2.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Dolce Aprile 12.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Golden Bow 8.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Amazin Queen 3.50 4.8 9-1
4 4 Mount Sinai 2.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Al Hilal 6.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Stanford (IRE) 20.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Alley Oop Johnny 2.50 3.3 6-1
8 8 Thenorthremembers 6.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Pound Green 12.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Campeador 12.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Wicked Finn 8.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Triple Jeopardy 20.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Steak and Cheese 2.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Rives 8.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Silver Spur 2.50 1.9 4-1
2 2 Mine for Passion 3.00 2 4-1
4 4 Chrome Republic 3.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Redjack 20.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Nepotism 2.00 2.5 5-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Savoy 12.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 The Great Oz 6.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Dreaming of Gerry 4.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 South Pointe Drive 15.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Major Frontier 20.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Ricochet 8.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Tackle 3.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Laker Mamba 3.50 4.8 9-1
1 1 Take a Chance 5.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Shes All Woman 1.20 2 4-1
4 4 Candy’s Dream 15.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Sweet Pearl 4.50 2.9 5-1
1 1 Time to Two Step 5.00 3 6-1
3 3 Sprout Wings 4.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Grey Charlotte 8.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Patrick’s Lass 15.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tyson 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Allegorical 6.00 1.1 2-1
8 8 My Romeo Lima 3.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Ridewiththedevil 12.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Greg’s Honor 6.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Anthracite 20.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Curbstone 4.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Roadtriptonowhere 4.50 3.8 7-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Catch That Party 15.00 1 2-1
3 3 Rough Entry 3.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Where Paradise Lay 15.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Quick Tempo 1.80 2.2 4-1
2 2 Lugamo 5.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Fortin Hill 2.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Canelito 3.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Protonic Power 12.00 2 4-1
2 2 Sarawat 6.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Unified Conquest 10.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Fran’s Strike 8.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Birdman Richie 4.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Cashier Check 3.50 6.7 13-1
7 7 Eternal Rest 5.00 7.7 14-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Grand Sir 5.00 1 2-1
7 7 Boggiemiester 3.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 My Brother Mike 15.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Ciango 12.00 2 4-1
8 8 Bluto’s Candy 3.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Dunnigan 10.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Board Certified 10.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Shirley’s Sherman 30.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Mr Mac Quhae 4.50 3.9 7-1
10 10 Catatumbo 8.00 4.2 8-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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