Sports from the Basement

Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, March 4, 2022

March 4, 2022 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Cancan Saree 10.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 War Music 2.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Flirtatious Smile 6.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Sober Sunday 15.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Satet 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Courtney Fay 3.50 5 9-1
2 2 She’s Hamazing 4.50 6.7 13-1
8 8 Hollysroyaldefense 6.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 On a Shoestring 20.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Glassato 12.00 3.1 6-1
10 10 Tiger Moon 4.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Cats Gotta Chance 20.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Osiyo 10.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Knievel 1.80 5.7 11-1
2 2 Hook ‘Em John 10.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Nugget of Grace 10.00 8.2 15-1
1 1 Big Pete 20.00 8.7 16-1
9 9 India Tiger 8.00 9 17-1
7 7 Mo Heat 3.50 9.4 18-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Lady McKenzie 3.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Teenage Kicks 6.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Shabam 8.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Catania 3.50 4.8 9-1
9 9 A Broken Breeze 10.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Chakra 4.50 5.1 10-1
6 6 Lea Ro 15.00 6.6 13-1
7 7 Ocelia 5.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 West Side Girl 12.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Agave Kid 20.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Love Nest 10.00 3 6-1
11 11 He’s Munnie 30.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Can Imagine 10.00 5.8 11-1
12 12 Mias Moonbeam 8.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Pull My Chain 20.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Alex’s Strike 2.50 6.6 13-1
13 13 Kevin Witte 20.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Capture the Glory 20.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Southside Swig 4.50 7.2 14-1
6 6 Seek N Justice 30.00 9.8 19-1
5 5 Dr. Forman 6.00 10.5 20-1
1 1 American Dubai 3.50 10.7 20-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Peripatetic 6.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Concoction 20.00 2.2 4-1
11 11 Ucantmakethistufup 2.50 2.3 4-1
14 14 Jackys Back 30.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Mammoth Spring 20.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Lochmoor 8.00 5.9 11-1
12 12 Tale of Truth 20.00 6.3 12-1
13 13 Young o’ Daine 20.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Riante Sky 15.00 7.7 15-1
1 1 Mucho Rocket Cat 4.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 Moonshine Max 6.00 10.1 19-1
9 9 Degray 5.00 10.1 19-1
5 5 Braska 20.00 12.3 23-1
3 3 My Kinda Teton 30.00 12.5 24-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Magoo 3.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Clancy’s Pistol 5.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Silent Disco 4.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Winterwood 2.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Can’t Beat Me 10.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Brody’s Streak 4.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Stealth Fighter 12.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Smokeymountainrain 4.50 1.6 3-1
1 1 Blame George 5.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Demuro 4.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Harry 12.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Worththemoney 4.50 3.5 7-1
9 9 Prince of Earl 20.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Brody Boucher 10.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Mr Frost 12.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Twice the Price 3.00 6 11-1
8 8 Wildcat Hagrid 15.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Decision Maker 4.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Exulting 3.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Catdaddy 5.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Truculent 5.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Ego 10.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Indimaaj 3.50 4 7-1
7 7 Kershaw 8.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Alex Joon 8.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Best Bet 8.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Teo 10.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Greatheart 8.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Victory March 6.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Invariably 4.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Constitutional Law 8.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Cronus 5.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 Centurion 8.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Life Is Hard 3.00 7 13-1
8 8 Russian Alphabet 20.00 7.6 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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