March 4, 2022 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Cancan Saree | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | War Music | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flirtatious Smile | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sober Sunday | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Satet | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Courtney Fay | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | She’s Hamazing | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hollysroyaldefense | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | On a Shoestring | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Glassato | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tiger Moon | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cats Gotta Chance | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Osiyo | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Knievel | 1.80 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hook ‘Em John | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nugget of Grace | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Pete | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | India Tiger | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mo Heat | 3.50 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lady McKenzie | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Teenage Kicks | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shabam | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Catania | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | A Broken Breeze | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chakra | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lea Ro | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ocelia | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | West Side Girl | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Agave Kid | 20.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Love Nest | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | He’s Munnie | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Can Imagine | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Mias Moonbeam | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pull My Chain | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alex’s Strike | 2.50 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Kevin Witte | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Capture the Glory | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Southside Swig | 4.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seek N Justice | 30.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dr. Forman | 6.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 1 | 1 | American Dubai | 3.50 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Peripatetic | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Concoction | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Ucantmakethistufup | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Jackys Back | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mammoth Spring | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lochmoor | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Tale of Truth | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Young o’ Daine | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Riante Sky | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mucho Rocket Cat | 4.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moonshine Max | 6.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Degray | 5.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Braska | 20.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Kinda Teton | 30.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Magoo | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Clancy’s Pistol | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Silent Disco | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Winterwood | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Can’t Beat Me | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brody’s Streak | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stealth Fighter | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Smokeymountainrain | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blame George | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Demuro | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Harry | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Worththemoney | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Prince of Earl | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Brody Boucher | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr Frost | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Twice the Price | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wildcat Hagrid | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Decision Maker | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Exulting | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Catdaddy | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Truculent | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ego | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Indimaaj | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kershaw | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Alex Joon | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Best Bet | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Teo | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Greatheart | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Victory March | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Invariably | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Constitutional Law | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cronus | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Centurion | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Life Is Hard | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Russian Alphabet | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.