Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, March 5, 2022

March 5, 2022 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Byanymeans 12.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Beautiful Ending 6.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Rockett Magic 15.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Our Little Girl 10.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Fashion Merit 2.50 5.1 10-1
7 7 Be a Bandit 8.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Clocked in Tyme 15.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Jennifer’s Arch 4.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 A. K. A. Grams 3.50 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Sweet Prayers 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 Dueforadate 5.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Dixie Lady 1.40 4 8-1
4 4 Paisley Cross 4.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Lady Hopper 3.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Miss Pat’s Girl 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Beanie 8.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Czar’s Ballerina 5.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Eagleoverthemoon 4.50 4.4 8-1
1 1 Violet Shadows 10.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Mylies Star 3.50 4.5 9-1
4 4 Corbin’s Wild Aces 5.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 She’s Takin Over 15.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 Smiling Angel 3.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Actifdash 20.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Oplin 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Bassett 4.50 4.8 9-1
5 5 Blazing Charlie 8.00 4.9 9-1
11 11 Majestic Society 15.00 6 11-1
8 8 Sweet Rachel 2.50 6.1 12-1
6 6 Quiet Prayer 3.50 6.3 12-1
3 3 Double Priority 15.00 6.5 12-1
12 12 Duritz 12.00 7.1 13-1
10 10 F J’s Gem 8.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 Western Star 15.00 8.8 17-1
9 9 Shot On Windy Hill 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Classic Runner 12.00 1 2-1
5 5 Kissmeister 12.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Calico Joe 4.50 6.2 12-1
2 2 Pitch and Run 10.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Jack Bob and Larry 6.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Jays Holiday 15.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Aw Heck 15.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Alligator Crawl 15.00 6.5 12-1
11 11 Time to Move 12.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Killingsworth 8.00 8.6 16-1
1 1 Life Is a Banquet 3.00 9 17-1
10 10 Meant for Me 3.50 11.8 22-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Slewpy’s Halo 12.00 3.4 6-1
10 10 C. F. Shelauh 5.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Our Amen 12.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Golden Expresso 20.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Social Galaxy 2.50 6 11-1
7 7 Dreamit 4.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Alberta Moon 12.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Lone Star Secret 5.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Missgreeley’ssong 10.00 8.4 16-1
3 3 Beaux Tox 8.00 10.3 19-1
4 4 Swimhard Dreambig 15.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Owner Appreciation Cup S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Pipes and Drums 10.00 0.8 1-1
4 4 Union Station 8.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Spa City 1.80 2.6 5-1
1 1 Bold Thirst 8.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Sarcastic Tone 8.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Frosted Grace 3.50 4.5 9-1
8 8 Langs Day 4.50 4.7 9-1
5 5 Double Star 15.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Classic Greeley 10.00 1 2-1
8 8 Paddock Pick 2.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Pat’s Karma 8.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Honor My Speed 8.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Masterly 4.50 6.1 12-1
2 2 Natealyze 12.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Summer Appeal 12.00 7.5 14-1
4 4 Adios Yankee 15.00 8.1 15-1
11 11 Guilty Again 20.00 9.5 18-1
10 10 Broadway Jones 5.00 10.8 20-1
3 3 Sonoma Crush 12.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Sobek 5.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Perfect Mistake 8.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Sournois 15.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Humphrey 5.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Mr. Paycheck 20.00 5 9-1
4 4 Relax Town 10.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Turn On the Magic 1.80 6.3 12-1
5 5 October Surprise 12.00 6.5 12-1
12 12 Jeha 3.00 6.5 12-1
11 11 Liken It 10.00 7.7 15-1
9 9 Such 8.00 7.8 15-1
10 10 Friendofthecourt 15.00 8.4 16-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Macho Bob 15.00 3.4 7-1
8 8 Indy Fireball 5.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Major Freak 15.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Thisguycanfly 20.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Dale’s Lil Bro 4.50 5.1 10-1
10 10 Toocan Dance 15.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Moro Pharoah 3.50 7.6 14-1
2 2 Shady Grady 3.00 8.7 16-1
12 12 Hello Heartbreaker 15.00 8.9 17-1
5 5 Sassy’s Prospector 8.00 9.8 18-1
4 4 Conquistador Gold 8.00 10 19-1
6 6 Kannon With a K 20.00 12 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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