March 5, 2022 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Byanymeans | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beautiful Ending | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rockett Magic | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Our Little Girl | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fashion Merit | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Be a Bandit | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clocked in Tyme | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jennifer’s Arch | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | A. K. A. Grams | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Prayers | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dueforadate | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dixie Lady | 1.40 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Paisley Cross | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Hopper | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Pat’s Girl | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Beanie | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Czar’s Ballerina | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eagleoverthemoon | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Violet Shadows | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mylies Star | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Corbin’s Wild Aces | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | She’s Takin Over | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Smiling Angel | 3.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Actifdash | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Oplin | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bassett | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blazing Charlie | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Majestic Society | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Rachel | 2.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quiet Prayer | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Double Priority | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Duritz | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | F J’s Gem | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Western Star | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Shot On Windy Hill | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Classic Runner | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kissmeister | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Calico Joe | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pitch and Run | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jack Bob and Larry | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jays Holiday | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aw Heck | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Alligator Crawl | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Time to Move | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Killingsworth | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Life Is a Banquet | 3.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Meant for Me | 3.50 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Slewpy’s Halo | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | C. F. Shelauh | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Our Amen | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Golden Expresso | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Social Galaxy | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dreamit | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alberta Moon | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lone Star Secret | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Missgreeley’ssong | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Beaux Tox | 8.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Swimhard Dreambig | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Owner Appreciation Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Pipes and Drums | 10.00 | 0.8 | 1-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Union Station | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spa City | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bold Thirst | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sarcastic Tone | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Frosted Grace | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Langs Day | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Double Star | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Classic Greeley | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Paddock Pick | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pat’s Karma | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Honor My Speed | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Masterly | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Natealyze | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Summer Appeal | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Adios Yankee | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Guilty Again | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Broadway Jones | 5.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sonoma Crush | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sobek | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Perfect Mistake | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sournois | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Humphrey | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Paycheck | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Relax Town | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Turn On the Magic | 1.80 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | October Surprise | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Jeha | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Liken It | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Such | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Friendofthecourt | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Macho Bob | 15.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Indy Fireball | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Major Freak | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thisguycanfly | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dale’s Lil Bro | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Toocan Dance | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moro Pharoah | 3.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shady Grady | 3.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Hello Heartbreaker | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sassy’s Prospector | 8.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Conquistador Gold | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kannon With a K | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.