March 5, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Into Wishing | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
3 | 3 | Totally Addicted | 3.50 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
5 | 5 | Tripper John | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
6 | 6 | Tool Box | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
7 | 7 | Fluffpoint | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
1 | 1 | Stealing Apriority | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
4 | 4 | The Three Ks | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Northernreflection | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
5 | 5 | More Harder | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
1 | 1 | Mo Credo | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
2 | 2 | Perrins | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
4 | 4 | Helaire | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
8 | 8 | Charlie G | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
3 | 3 | Catchin Drama | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
6 | 6 | Marliesrajuncajun | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
9 | 9 | Ry Dont Lie | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Golden Pegasus | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
3 | 3 | Golden Passage | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
1 | 1 | Ferocity | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
5 | 5 | Courthouse Cove | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
6 | 6 | Speedy G | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
4 | 4 | Runandhide Wind | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Red Camelia S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Offspring | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
3 | 3 | Tecate Time | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
1 | 1 | Winning Romance | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
4 | 4 | Blessed Anna | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
6 | 6 | Net a Bear | 1.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
5 | 5 | Fort Polk | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 4 | Wow Me Fast | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
5 | 5 | Freeze the Day | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
3 | 3 | Dial Ten for G | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
6 | 7 | Abuela’s Humor | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
1 | 2 | Surrey | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
2 | 1 | Dashing Hero | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
1A | 6 | Burning Desire | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Black Gold S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Tommy Bee | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
7 | 7 | Dowagiac Chief | 1.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
5 | 5 | Iberville | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
1 | 1 | Holy City | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
4 | 4 | Magician Stone | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
6 | 6 | Silent Tap | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | Russian Tank | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Tambourine Star | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
2 | 2 | Cosmic Train | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
4 | 4 | Eddie’s Humor | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
3 | 3 | Runninginthemoney | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
5 | 5 | Bind Faith | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
7 | 7 | Big Chopper | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
1 | 1 | I Like Dreaming | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Edward J. Johnston Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Ballinonabudjet | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
7 | 7 | Mangelsen | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
10 | 10 | City Park | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
8 | 8 | Budro Talking | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
6 | 6 | Who Took the Money | 0.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
2 | 2 | Behemah Star | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
5 | 5 | Treys Midnite Moon | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
3 | 3 | Get Them Justin | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
9 | 9 | Drewhustle | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
4 | 4 | Changi | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
11 | 11 | Mr. Universe | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Point of Victory | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
5 | 5 | For Real Alice | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
1 | 1 | Kehron’s Creed | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
7 | 7 | Tuffology | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
2 | 2 | Active Girl | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
3 | 3 | New Year’s Party | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
4 | 4 | Gilded Apple | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
8 | 8 | Custom for Carlita | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.