March 5, 2022 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Friendly Fella | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Twice too Many | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Awesome Beach | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ampersand | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jess’s Stride | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Old Time Revival | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiger | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bailey | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Handsome Prince | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Ice Beast | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | You’re Killin Me | 2.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Fast Loaded | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Falconet | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Signal From Noise | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiffany’s Mo | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Love to Run | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Inviting | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Veterans Highway | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Olga Isabel | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tachlis | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 13 | 13 | I Cross My Heart | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Blini | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Desert Dalliance | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Peligroso | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Silverleaf | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tequilera | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Siempre Elegante | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Canadian Turf S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mouillage (FR) | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sigiloso | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Noble Indy | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Clear Vision | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | English Bee | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mira Mission | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Never Surprised | 0.80 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Hidden Plan | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Particular | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mendenhall | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Creative Minister | 15.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Super Quality | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Stay Restless | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Mackillop | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Felix | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Town Branch | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Master of Arms | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Villegas Swing | 30.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Winston Blue | 30.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Double Play King | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Last Dawn | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Positive Review | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Superstitieux | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – The Very One S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Sorrel (IRE) | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Virginia Joy (GER) | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mezcal | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Harajuku (IRE) | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quinevere (GER) | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Onyx | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Beautiful Lover | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kelsey’s Cross | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Family Way | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Davona Dale S. Presented By Fanduel
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Classy Edition | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kathleen O. | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mi Negrita | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Outfoxed | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Dani Girl | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Girl With a Dream | 3.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cocktail Moments | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Palm Beach S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Main Event | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Moms Moon | 20.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Credibility | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | C My Meister | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Spirit | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sosua Summer | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Coinage | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bueno Bueno | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Red Danger | 4.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Capocostello | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | King’s Ovation | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hide the Demon | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chocolate Bar | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Awesome Gerry | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Liam | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stage Raider | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Soup and Sandwich | 5.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Manor House | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Prevalence | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Honey Fox S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Wakanaka (IRE) | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Navratilova | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Katama Moonlight | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lovely Luvy | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gift List (GB) | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quinoa Tifah | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sugar Fix | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Alms | 3.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | In Italian (GB) | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jouster | 4.50 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bipartisanship (GB) | 5.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Winstar Gulfstream Park Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Collaborate | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ny Traffic | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon War | 20.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Endorsed | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Girolamo’s Attack | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Speaker’s Corner | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fearless | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Diamond Oops | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Injunction | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Mac Diarmida S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Gloucestershire | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fantasioso (ARG) | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kygo (GER) | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Temple | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Shamrocket | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Glynn County | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tide of the Sea | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lure Him In | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Media Blitz | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Safe Conduct | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Abaan | 1.60 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Fasig-tipton Fountain Of Youth S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | O Captain | 30.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | High Oak | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | In Due Time | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dean Delivers | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 98 | Mo Donegal | 0.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rattle N Roll | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Galt | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Markhamian | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Giant Game | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Simplification | 2.50 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | A. P.’s Secret | 15.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Emmanuel | 3.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Howling Time | 15.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Stakes) – Herecomesthebride S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Dolce Zel (FR) | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spendarella | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dia de Sol | 30.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Soul of an Angel | 30.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Opalina | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beside Herself | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Last Leaf | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Bali Del Sol | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lemieux | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mischievous Kiss | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Diamond Wow | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Lia Marina | 4.50 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Howdyoumakeurmoney | 12.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.