Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, March 5, 2022

March 5, 2022 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Friendly Fella 8.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Twice too Many 4.50 4.2 8-1
2 2 Awesome Beach 20.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Ampersand 15.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Jess’s Stride 6.00 5 9-1
8 8 Old Time Revival 12.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Tiger 5.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Bailey 20.00 6 11-1
10 10 Handsome Prince 15.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 The Ice Beast 15.00 6.5 12-1
12 12 You’re Killin Me 2.50 6.6 12-1
11 11 Fast Loaded 20.00 9.6 18-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Falconet 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Signal From Noise 4.50 1.1 2-1
4 4 Tiffany’s Mo 8.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Love to Run 10.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 Inviting 10.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Veterans Highway 4.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Olga Isabel 20.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Tachlis 20.00 1.9 4-1
13 13 I Cross My Heart 20.00 1.9 4-1
12 12 Blini 8.00 2.1 4-1
15 15 Desert Dalliance 12.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Peligroso 15.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Silverleaf 12.00 2.6 5-1
10 10 Tequilera 20.00 3.6 7-1
14 14 Siempre Elegante 20.00 3.6 7-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Canadian Turf S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Mouillage (FR) 3.50 1.1 2-1
1 1 Sigiloso 15.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Noble Indy 20.00 3 6-1
6 6 Clear Vision 6.00 3 6-1
3 3 English Bee 8.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Mira Mission 8.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Never Surprised 0.80 6.6 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Hidden Plan 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Particular 4.50 1.1 2-1
9 9 Mendenhall 8.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Creative Minister 15.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Super Quality 15.00 1.7 3-1
14 14 Stay Restless 2.50 1.9 4-1
13 13 Mackillop 4.50 1.9 4-1
11 11 Felix 6.00 2 4-1
2 2 Town Branch 8.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Master of Arms 8.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Villegas Swing 30.00 2.8 5-1
12 12 Winston Blue 30.00 2.8 5-1
15 15 Double Play King 15.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Last Dawn 30.00 4.1 8-1
10 10 Positive Review 5.00 5.8 11-1
16 16 Superstitieux 15.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – The Very One S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Sorrel (IRE) 4.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 Virginia Joy (GER) 2.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Mezcal 6.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Harajuku (IRE) 3.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Quinevere (GER) 20.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Onyx 30.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Beautiful Lover 4.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Kelsey’s Cross 30.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Family Way 12.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Davona Dale S. Presented By Fanduel

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Classy Edition 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Kathleen O. 4.50 1.1 2-1
7 7 Mi Negrita 20.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Outfoxed 5.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Sweet Dani Girl 4.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Girl With a Dream 3.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Cocktail Moments 5.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Palm Beach S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Main Event 5.00 1.1 2-1
8 8 Moms Moon 20.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Credibility 6.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 C My Meister 20.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Royal Spirit 2.50 4.1 8-1
5 5 Sosua Summer 15.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Coinage 3.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Bueno Bueno 15.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Red Danger 4.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Capocostello 10.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 King’s Ovation 12.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Hide the Demon 12.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Chocolate Bar 4.50 3.4 6-1
9 9 Awesome Gerry 12.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Liam 3.00 6 11-1
7 7 Stage Raider 3.50 6.8 13-1
10 10 Soup and Sandwich 5.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 Manor House 30.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 Prevalence 8.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Honey Fox S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Wakanaka (IRE) 6.00 1.1 2-1
11 11 Navratilova 12.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Katama Moonlight 20.00 5 9-1
1 1 Lovely Luvy 20.00 5 9-1
6 6 Gift List (GB) 4.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Quinoa Tifah 30.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Sugar Fix 15.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Alms 3.50 7.2 14-1
9 9 In Italian (GB) 8.00 7.7 15-1
3 3 Jouster 4.50 8.7 16-1
5 5 Bipartisanship (GB) 5.00 10.3 19-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Winstar Gulfstream Park Mile S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Collaborate 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 Ny Traffic 4.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Bourbon War 20.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Endorsed 6.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Girolamo’s Attack 20.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Speaker’s Corner 2.50 3.5 7-1
4 4 Fearless 3.00 4 8-1
9 9 Diamond Oops 6.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Injunction 20.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Mac Diarmida S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Gloucestershire 8.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Fantasioso (ARG) 15.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Kygo (GER) 20.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Temple 4.50 5.3 10-1
10 10 Shamrocket 6.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Glynn County 15.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Tide of the Sea 20.00 8 15-1
5 5 Lure Him In 12.00 8.5 16-1
9 9 Media Blitz 8.00 8.8 17-1
6 6 Safe Conduct 15.00 9.3 18-1
1 1 Abaan 1.60 9.8 18-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Fasig-tipton Fountain Of Youth S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 O Captain 30.00 1.9 4-1
9 9 High Oak 8.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 In Due Time 6.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Dean Delivers 15.00 5.4 10-1
12 98 Mo Donegal 0.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Rattle N Roll 8.00 5.8 11-1
13 13 Galt 15.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Markhamian 20.00 6 11-1
10 10 Giant Game 15.00 8.8 17-1
2 2 Simplification 2.50 10.3 19-1
7 7 A. P.’s Secret 15.00 10.5 20-1
8 8 Emmanuel 3.00 10.9 21-1
3 3 Howling Time 15.00 11.5 22-1

RACE NUMBER 13 (Stakes) – Herecomesthebride S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Dolce Zel (FR) 5.00 1 2-1
4 4 Spendarella 6.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Dia de Sol 30.00 1.9 4-1
10 10 Soul of an Angel 30.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Opalina 3.50 4 7-1
5 5 Beside Herself 4.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Last Leaf 20.00 4.9 9-1
11 11 Bali Del Sol 20.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Lemieux 15.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Mischievous Kiss 6.00 8 15-1
3 3 Diamond Wow 8.00 9 17-1
12 12 Lia Marina 4.50 10.8 20-1
9 9 Howdyoumakeurmoney 12.00 11.6 22-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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