Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, March 5, 2022

March 5, 2022 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 7 Stroll Smokin 2.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Seanow 1.80 1.6 3-1
1A 3 D’ Rapper 1.80 1.7 3-1
5 6 Robey’s Boy 20.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 John’s Promise 4.00 5.1 10-1
3 4 Spitball 4.50 5.2 10-1
4 5 Big City Bob 8.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Mice and Men 15.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Military Hop 1.60 2.6 5-1
2 2 Revolutionary Road 4.00 4 8-1
3 3 Rock and Fellers (ARG) 5.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Crying for More 20.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Bourbon and Ice 12.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Tom Terrific 15.00 4.5 8-1
9 9 Cooke Brothers 12.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Top Boss 4.50 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Red Wine Time 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Party Monster 3.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 Keen Machine 2.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 Feel the Glory 10.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Dial Me Maybe 2.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Bellify 15.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 8 Ludicrous Mode 4.50 1.2 2-1
5 6 Unequivocal 8.00 1.3 3-1
1A 4 Bouncing Around 3.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 Sheriff Chip 6.00 1.9 4-1
6 7 Rough Sea 5.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Clubman 3.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Goodluckchuck 2.50 5 9-1
9 10 My Good Man 12.00 5.3 10-1
4 5 Whirlin Curlin 15.00 7.7 14-1
8 9 Fortune’s Fool 8.00 9.1 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Queen Cashmere 2.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Lola Flo 20.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 No More Mask 2.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Emma Devine 8.00 3 6-1
3 3 Magic in Me 2.50 3 6-1
1 1 Kymmies Chardonnay 4.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Archer’s Hall 8.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Who Knows What 10.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Combat Queen 3.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 Ellie Be Dancing 30.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Response Time 1.60 3.4 7-1
2 2 Behind the Couch 3.00 3.4 7-1
5 5 Tritone Gal 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Lightfoot Miss 2.50 1.2 2-1
2 2 Birthday Wish 3.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 Special Freedom 4.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Going Going Gone 10.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Fortes 4.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Strike Magic 3.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 6 Peyton Elizabeth 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Platinum Frolic 8.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Proper Attire 1.60 1.5 3-1
3 3 Juror Number Four 3.50 1.6 3-1
2 2 Finding Fame 1.40 2.3 4-1
5 5 Decoupage 12.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 He Rolls 10.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 Holiday Avenue 3.50 2.4 5-1
7 7 Shanghai Candy 8.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Principality 2.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Phra Phrom 8.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Brettmeister 2.50 6.4 12-1
3 3 I’m Not Slow 20.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Kazu 20.00 7.3 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.