Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, March 5, 2022

March 5, 2022 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Gold Phoenix (IRE) 2.50 2.2 4-1
10 10 See Through It 5.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 City Rage 8.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Cali Bay (IRE) 10.00 6.4 12-1
12 12 Southern Horse (ARG) 12.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Spirit Maker 12.00 7.6 14-1
11 11 Newpark (IRE) 6.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Cane Creek Road 8.00 8.5 16-1
7 7 Constitutionaffair 12.00 9.8 18-1
3 3 Burnin Turf 12.00 9.8 19-1
13 13 Jazz Hands 15.00 10.7 20-1
1 1 Adare 8.00 11 21-1
6 6 River Tiber 15.00 11.4 22-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Taiba 1.60 2.1 4-1
5 5 Mauritius 2.50 2.4 4-1
6 6 Tenth Street Don 8.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Overrule 4.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Magicnthemoonlight 6.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Pioneering Papa 10.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 One More Bid 12.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bristol Bayou 2.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Savvy Gal 3.00 3 6-1
6 6 Sadie Bluegrass 4.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 On Purpose 6.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Mylittlerunaway 15.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Respectfully 15.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Storming Lady 3.00 5 9-1
7 7 Righteously 20.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – San Carlos S. Presented By Fanduel

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Eight Rings 3.00 2.4 4-1
4 3 Cezanne 2.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Brickyard Ride 3.00 2.9 5-1
3 2 Canadian Pride 5.00 3 6-1
9 8 Shooters Shoot 4.00 3.6 7-1
7 6 Phantom Dance 20.00 4.7 9-1
5 4 Principe Carlo 15.00 5 9-1
2 98 American Theorem 0.00 5.8 11-1
8 7 Wicked Trick 20.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Buena Vista S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Going to Vegas 3.00 2.8 5-1
11 11 Mucho Unusual 4.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Tony Ann 6.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Leggs Galore 3.50 5.4 10-1
8 8 Canoodling 12.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Closing Remarks 8.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Keeper of Time (IRE) 10.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Fast Jet Court (BRZ) 20.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Avenue de France (FR) 15.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Javanica 20.00 8.9 17-1
4 4 Madone 15.00 9.8 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – San Felipe S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Forbidden Kingdom 1.60 2.4 5-1
5 5 Doppelganger 1.80 3 6-1
3 3 Armagnac 5.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Cabo Spirit 5.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Beautiful Art 12.00 6 11-1
1 1 Happy Jack 8.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Worse Read Sanchez 20.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Got Thunder 1.20 2.9 6-1
7 7 Barnfield 10.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 War At Sea 2.50 4.2 8-1
9 9 Tuskegee Cat 2.50 4.4 8-1
6 6 Win the Day 6.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Legally Reddy 10.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Baldoro 20.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Torajiro 20.00 8.6 16-1
3 3 Lil Bro Coop 20.00 8.8 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Thrumps Dream (IRE) 8.00 3.7 7-1
11 11 Honey Jar 3.50 3.8 7-1
6 6 Kalon 6.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Mendham Mill 10.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 That’s Amare 5.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Ultimate Hy 5.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Taming the Tigress 6.00 6.5 12-1
13 13 Nu Pi Lambda 8.00 7.6 14-1
9 9 Aloha Kitten 10.00 8.4 16-1
10 10 Xmas Surprise 20.00 8.4 16-1
4 4 Zydeco Mama 12.00 8.9 17-1
2 2 Another Eddie 12.00 9 17-1
1 1 Ever Smart 20.00 13.3 25-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Beholder Mile S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 As Time Goes By 0.80 2.2 4-1
6 5 Envoutante 1.60 2.4 4-1
5 4 Miss Bigly 5.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Varda 6.00 2.9 5-1
2 98 Moonlight d’Oro 0.00 4.6 9-1
4 3 Founder’s Day 30.00 6.6 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Frank E. Kilroe Mile S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Count Again 3.50 2.7 5-1
10 10 Flavius 6.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Subconscious 5.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Tell Your Daddy 6.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Law Professor 6.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Beyond Brilliant 8.00 5 9-1
5 5 Whisper Not (GB) 15.00 5.2 10-1
12 12 Vanzzy 30.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Space Traveller (GB) 5.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Team Merchants 20.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Delaware (GB) 20.00 8.2 15-1
11 11 Bob and Jackie 20.00 9.5 18-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Santa Anita H. Presented By Yaamava’ Resort & Casino

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Warrant 4.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Stilleto Boy 2.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Why Why Paul Why 6.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Express Train 1.60 3.7 7-1
7 7 Kiss Today Goodbye 15.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Spielberg 8.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 American Theorem 12.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Soy Tapatio 20.00 7.4 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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