March 5, 2022 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Gold Phoenix (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | See Through It | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | City Rage | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cali Bay (IRE) | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Southern Horse (ARG) | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spirit Maker | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Newpark (IRE) | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cane Creek Road | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Constitutionaffair | 12.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Burnin Turf | 12.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Jazz Hands | 15.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Adare | 8.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 6 | 6 | River Tiber | 15.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Taiba | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mauritius | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tenth Street Don | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Overrule | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Magicnthemoonlight | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pioneering Papa | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | One More Bid | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bristol Bayou | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Savvy Gal | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sadie Bluegrass | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | On Purpose | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mylittlerunaway | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Respectfully | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Storming Lady | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Righteously | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – San Carlos S. Presented By Fanduel
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Eight Rings | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Cezanne | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brickyard Ride | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Canadian Pride | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 8 | Shooters Shoot | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Phantom Dance | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Principe Carlo | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 98 | American Theorem | 0.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 7 | Wicked Trick | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Buena Vista S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Going to Vegas | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mucho Unusual | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tony Ann | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Leggs Galore | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Canoodling | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Closing Remarks | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Keeper of Time (IRE) | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fast Jet Court (BRZ) | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Avenue de France (FR) | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Javanica | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Madone | 15.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – San Felipe S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Forbidden Kingdom | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Doppelganger | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Armagnac | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cabo Spirit | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beautiful Art | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Happy Jack | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Worse Read Sanchez | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Got Thunder | 1.20 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Barnfield | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | War At Sea | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tuskegee Cat | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Win the Day | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Legally Reddy | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baldoro | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Torajiro | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lil Bro Coop | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Thrumps Dream (IRE) | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Honey Jar | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kalon | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mendham Mill | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | That’s Amare | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ultimate Hy | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Taming the Tigress | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Nu Pi Lambda | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Aloha Kitten | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Xmas Surprise | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zydeco Mama | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Another Eddie | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ever Smart | 20.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Beholder Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | As Time Goes By | 0.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Envoutante | 1.60 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Miss Bigly | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Varda | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 98 | Moonlight d’Oro | 0.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Founder’s Day | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Frank E. Kilroe Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Count Again | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Flavius | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Subconscious | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tell Your Daddy | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Law Professor | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Beyond Brilliant | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whisper Not (GB) | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Vanzzy | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Space Traveller (GB) | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Team Merchants | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Delaware (GB) | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Bob and Jackie | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Santa Anita H. Presented By Yaamava’ Resort & Casino
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Warrant | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stilleto Boy | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Why Why Paul Why | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Express Train | 1.60 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kiss Today Goodbye | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spielberg | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | American Theorem | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Soy Tapatio | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.