Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, March 6, 2022

March 6, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Foxtail 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 My Girl Lexi 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Magnetique 1.80 2 4-1
5 5 Indian Bella 4.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 That Is Key 3.50 6 11-1
6 6 Peaches and Spice 20.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Game Theory 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Linny Kate 4.00 2.9 5-1
7 6 Infringement 12.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Simple Sugar 10.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 April Antics 6.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Scott Alaia 1.80 7.4 14-1
6 6 Cross Island 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Daufuskie Island 6.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Impressionist 1.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Bourbon’s Hope 5.00 5.2 10-1
6 5 My Last Mission 20.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Ava K’s Boy 4.00 6 11-1
5 5 Kenner 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mission Trail 20.00 1 2-1
3 3 Red Pepper Grill 2.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Appreciate 4.50 3.8 7-1
6 5 Pazzion 15.00 4.6 9-1
8 7 Sabreen 8.00 4.9 9-1
7 6 Half Day Pam 3.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Midmon 15.00 8 15-1
5 5 Bella Domenica 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 American Rule 10.00 1 2-1
3 3 Blewitt 3.50 2.4 5-1
5 5 Striking Speed 15.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Microscope 5.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Regal Quality 2.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Mo Gotcha 20.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 Prioritize 3.00 7.7 14-1
2 2 Lost in Rome 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 5 Hush of a Storm 6.00 1 2-1
9 6 Tiergan 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 No Salt 4.00 3.6 7-1
7 4 Vintage Hollywood 20.00 4.5 8-1
6 3 Daddy Knows 3.00 7.7 15-1
3 2 Yankee Division 2.50 9 17-1
2 2 Prince of Pharoahs 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Just Right 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Anything Pazible 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Heavenly Prize Invitational S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Maiden Beauty 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Truth Hurts 10.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Battle Bling 3.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Sharp Starr 3.00 5 9-1
2 2 Bank Sting 2.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Arduously 20.00 1 2-1
1 1 Doc Doc Rock 4.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Dorothy’s the Boss 3.50 2.6 5-1
7 7 Colby Girl 20.00 5 9-1
9 9 Easy Play 2.50 7.5 14-1
5 5 Lollygag 8.00 7.7 15-1
8 8 U Should B Dancing 8.00 7.7 15-1
4 4 Knot Joking 4.50 9 17-1
6 6 Quiet Type 10.00 9.5 18-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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