March 6, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Foxtail | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Girl Lexi | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Magnetique | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Indian Bella | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | That Is Key | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Peaches and Spice | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Game Theory | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Linny Kate | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Infringement | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Simple Sugar | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | April Antics | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scott Alaia | 1.80 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cross Island | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Daufuskie Island | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Impressionist | 1.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bourbon’s Hope | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | My Last Mission | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ava K’s Boy | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kenner | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mission Trail | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Red Pepper Grill | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Appreciate | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Pazzion | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sabreen | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Half Day Pam | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Midmon | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bella Domenica | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | American Rule | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blewitt | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Striking Speed | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Microscope | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Regal Quality | 2.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mo Gotcha | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Prioritize | 3.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lost in Rome | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 5 | Hush of a Storm | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Tiergan | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | No Salt | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Vintage Hollywood | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Daddy Knows | 3.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Yankee Division | 2.50 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prince of Pharoahs | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Just Right | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Anything Pazible | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Heavenly Prize Invitational S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Maiden Beauty | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Truth Hurts | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Battle Bling | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sharp Starr | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bank Sting | 2.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Arduously | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Doc Doc Rock | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dorothy’s the Boss | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Colby Girl | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Easy Play | 2.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lollygag | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | U Should B Dancing | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Knot Joking | 4.50 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quiet Type | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.