Sports from the Basement

Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, March 6, 2022

March 6, 2022 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Makemebelieve 10.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Truebluegirl 12.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Autostrada 5.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Lady Commander 3.50 4.6 9-1
4 4 Martique Miss 2.50 4.9 9-1
7 7 Quality Chrome 10.00 5 9-1
5 5 Farasino 4.50 5.4 10-1
8 8 I Feel the Need 6.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Dede’s Trick 4.00 2.8 5-1
5 3 Milana 3.50 3.3 6-1
6 4 Game of Inches 30.00 4.3 8-1
10 8 Texas Lexus 10.00 4.4 8-1
9 7 Rattrapante 2.00 8.3 16-1
8 6 Desert Glow 15.00 8.5 16-1
4 2 Briar Thicket 4.50 8.7 16-1
2 1 Keino 20.00 9 17-1
1 1 Rainbows Are Free 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Easy Is Good 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Turnstone 5.00 2 4-1
2 2 Bold Tactics 1.80 2 4-1
4 4 Beach Flower 3.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Lil Kings Princess 3.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Pretti Xtreme 8.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Itsallinthenotes 5.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Sol Del Sur 8.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Jay Vee Bee 6.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Leading West 3.50 2.3 4-1
8 8 Signofthecross 3.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Notary 4.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Catholic Guilt 8.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Toma Todo 6.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Spheroid 15.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Optimus Kat 12.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Prinia 5.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Buckle Bunny Red 3.00 1.8 3-1
8 7 Pattern Bet 2.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Gold Strategy 8.00 2.9 6-1
9 8 Sweetness To 15.00 3.6 7-1
7 6 Summer Shoes 4.50 6.6 12-1
4 4 Miss Rita 6.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 Hamazing Debate 20.00 8.2 15-1
6 6 Mo Wanna Go 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 7 Chasing Shadows 4.50 1.6 3-1
5 4 Emerald Princess 3.50 3.1 6-1
9 6 Epicurean 3.00 5.2 10-1
2 1 Super Wonder Girl 8.00 5.9 11-1
4 3 Little Bird Flash 20.00 8.5 16-1
3 2 Fortuna Adiuvat 6.00 8.7 16-1
6 5 Olivian 30.00 9 17-1
1 1 Dixie Penny 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Fifth Risk 4.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Verklempt 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bear Alley 10.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Hunka Burning Love 3.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Bode’s Maker 4.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Leader of Men 4.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Home Run Trick 5.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Fort Peck 3.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Plentiful 30.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Lastchanceatglory 8.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 Morocco 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Super Chianti 20.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Wings of an Angel 8.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Sianara 3.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Upandcomingstar 6.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Nic and Zoe 4.50 5.7 11-1
8 8 Well Spent 4.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Sunny Isle Beach 12.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Sweet Tea 3.50 8.4 16-1
10 10 Ursulina 20.00 9 17-1
3 3 Athenas Song 30.00 9.4 18-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Arrival 15.00 2.6 5-1
9 7 Hidden Promise 15.00 3.4 6-1
6 4 Major Kong 20.00 4.5 8-1
2 1 Coach Adams 5.00 5.6 11-1
3 2 Pepper Pike 15.00 6 11-1
10 8 Zitman 4.50 8.2 16-1
8 6 Something Natural 12.00 8.8 17-1
7 5 V. I. P. Who 2.50 8.9 17-1
1 1 Lookin for Eight 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 River Echo (GB) 3.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Justin’s Quest 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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Scoreboard
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3rd - 0:00
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2nd - 5:08
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17:24 3rd
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Final
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Bottom 7th
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Middle 5th
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Bottom 7th
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