Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, March 6, 2022

March 6, 2022 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Silardi 2.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 Jamming Eddy 6.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Never Have I Ever (IRE) 4.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Highly Distorted 3.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Niles Channel 8.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 D K’s Crown 20.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Barristan The Bold (GB) 3.50 5.7 11-1
6 6 Continental Divide 20.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Polar 30.00 8.6 16-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Impossible Task 1.60 1.5 3-1
4 4 Absolute Unit 2.50 2.4 5-1
1 1 No Hang Charlie 2.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Rifey 4.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Doc Adams 8.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Hong Kong Harry (IRE) 1.60 2.1 4-1
2 2 Carmelita’s Man 2.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Jimmy P 3.00 3.1 6-1
6 5 Luvluv 5.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Prince Maior 6.00 6.4 12-1
5 98 There Goes Harvard 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Kerouac 1.60 1.5 3-1
5 4 Piroli 1.80 1.9 4-1
2 2 Win the Day 5.00 2 4-1
1 1 Classic Mark 12.00 2.8 5-1
6 5 Mongolian Box 20.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Bletchley Park 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bestrella (IRE) 2.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Operatic 4.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Flat Out Joy 3.50 4.5 8-1
5 5 Donut Girl 20.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Rapid Transit 5.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Miss Flawless (FR) 4.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Cecile’s Chapter 4.50 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Sharapova 2.00 2.1 4-1
3 2 Heels Up 2.50 2.4 4-1
2 1 Del Mar Drama 2.50 2.6 5-1
5 4 Fi Fi Pharoah 5.00 3.2 6-1
6 5 Ironic Twist 6.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Noble Hearted 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Flintmore 2.50 1.5 3-1
2 2 Troubadour 4.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Magic Man 6.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Nineeleventurbo 6.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Air Force Red 10.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Migration 8.00 4 8-1
3 3 Trainer Please 3.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Hunter John 30.00 6 11-1
1 1 Jedi Master 20.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Santa Ysabel S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Ain’t Easy 2.50 1.8 3-1
7 6 Eda 2.50 2.6 5-1
9 8 Under the Stars 1.60 2.7 5-1
4 4 Cairo Memories 8.00 4 8-1
1 1 Desert Dawn 15.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Miss Everything 20.00 6.2 12-1
6 5 Fortunata Tensio 20.00 6.4 12-1
8 7 Classical Romance 30.00 9 17-1
5 5 Micro Share 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – China Doll S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Island of Love (IRE) 2.50 1.5 3-1
5 5 Urban 4.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Sterling Crest (IRE) 3.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Gold Dragon Queen 12.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Lucky Girl (IRE) 3.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Virulente (FR) 8.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Pammy’s Ready 10.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 An Agent Mistake 30.00 7.3 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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