March 11, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Karen’s Cove | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cause of Action | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Winning Drive | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fleet Warrior | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Healy’s Hope | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Binkster | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Remembermom | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Centavo | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quickflash | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bar Fourteen | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prayer Book | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Realm | 0.80 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Wild Carp Diem | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sir William | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Reservation | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sell Something | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dancing With Rico | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mo Dancin | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Uncle Water Flow | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Devious Banker | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Joe Gonzalez | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Salute to America | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | To a T | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Freddymo Factor | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kingdom Queen | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bella Principessa | 1.40 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Suspended Campaign | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Girl of Tosconova | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kerik | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Winter Siren | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bavarian Creme | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | One Track Mine | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hey Mama | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Laochi | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vivazano | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Madame Rose | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Steppin’ Hawk | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sister Luck | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Prince of Joy | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Patty O’Marc | 30.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Donegal Bay | 1.60 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ocean Deep | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bellamy Dolce | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Coach Bahe | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Make It in Ny | 1.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fotis | 50.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Far Away Look | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Raffinity | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shalimar Gardens | 0.40 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Enter Sandwoman | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Inouaintalkintome | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mia Bea Star | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Voice of Spring | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Seahorse d’Oro | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Gracie O’Malley | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Holiday Jazz | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Riley | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blind Sight | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Playmaggieforme | 20.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Beautiful Banks | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Miss Flintshire | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Pals Ally | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Half Birthday | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Miss Malala | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Reeley Psyched | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Keen Dancer | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Soaring Mist | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.