March 11, 2022 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Kanthartana | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hickory Court | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Khopilot | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gun for Success | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Summer Ash | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dubrovnik | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Heart of Roman | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Danley | 30.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chrome’s Right | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gunduz | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | New York Style | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grainger County | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Assertiko | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smiling Teufles | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | First Rule | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | South Pacific | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Appalachianheights | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Blustery | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Awesome Birdie | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Countless Dreams | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Triple P | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Adios Babe | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | J’s Star Jet | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Six Feet Apart | 1.20 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sassy Melissa | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silver Cloud | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Patti D | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tactical Pajamas | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ladies’ Choice | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Lucas | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Compass Cay | 30.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dinner Bell | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Full of Mischief | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nobel | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bella Future | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Julius the Great | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Macedonian | 30.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Joyful Surprise | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sky Bridge | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mindship Q | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Motherwell | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bad Pay | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red Wind | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fillmore East | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Drill’s Valentine | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Domineering | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | American Tap | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Day’s Humor | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shiny Empire | 5.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | La Costa | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Proliferation | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sade Purse | 20.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rouway | 30.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Twelveo’clockrock | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Union Tatters | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cadencia | 1.20 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Laloba Feroz | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Merseyside | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smarmy | 1.60 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lovielee | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | No Decaf | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Foolish Heart | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kozy Dreams | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Capturini | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Watch It | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thismightbetheone | 20.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | The Flying Pharoah | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sanura | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Investment Income | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mozay | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Salit | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Andie One | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Maria’s Revenge | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.