Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Friday, March 11, 2022

March 11, 2022 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Dial Her 2.50 1.3 3-1
7 6 Darling Donna 5.00 2 4-1
1 1 Spring Spinning 5.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Aventapp 2.50 4 8-1
2 2 Red Diamond 2.00 4.4 8-1
6 5 Missing Penny 30.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Duxonthepond 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Area Code 1.40 1.1 2-1
3 3 Grazen Sun 3.50 1.4 3-1
5 5 Magnificent Ride 4.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Heaven’s Music 1.60 3.3 6-1
4 4 Mr Freebie 20.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Youte 2.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Squared Shady 4.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Increase Stakes 3.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Rose Maddox 2.50 3 6-1
4 4 Tribal Bid 12.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Time for Ebby 6.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Sweet Talked 2.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Chloe’s Girl 6.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Brocade 4.00 3 6-1
2 2 Micro Share 0.80 3.1 6-1
4 4 Happy Happy 15.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Bicameral 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Kimmer 3.00 1.8 3-1
6 5 Me Likey 8.00 3.1 6-1
2 1 Dream Robber 2.50 3.2 6-1
4 3 Sometimes Always 2.00 3.9 7-1
3 2 Catfish Charlie 20.00 5.8 11-1
5 4 Musical Gem 12.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Mad Catter 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Excelerina (IRE) 1.80 1.1 2-1
7 7 Annaghlasa (IRE) 2.50 1.1 2-1
4 4 Octane (BRZ) 10.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Split Then Double (GB) 4.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Zydeco Mama 10.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Pop Pop’s Dream 6.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Fairy Cakes (GB) 8.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Derby Quest 50.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 I’m Corfu 1.80 1.5 3-1
4 4 Fenestra 4.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Fury Kap 2.50 2 4-1
2 2 Mister Bold 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 The Rule of King’s 15.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Quick Finish 3.00 3.7 7-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 6 Hudson Ridge 3.00 4.2 8-1
10 7 Anaconda 3.00 5.1 10-1
7 4 Evening Sun (GB) 6.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Comradery (IRE) 20.00 6.3 12-1
5 3 Crew Dragon 20.00 6.4 12-1
8 5 Eastern Ocean 20.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 Tiz Plus 10.00 8.1 15-1
3 3 Cash Equity (FR) 2.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Sniper Kitten 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Count of Amazonia (IRE) 6.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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