March 12, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | Moment to Dream | 1.40 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Rydenseek | 1.40 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Jackieleigh | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Cosmic Belle | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sadie’s Port | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 11 | Tantalizing Ten | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 12 | Absolutely Mindy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 10 | Lawsuit Lucy | 4.50 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Savannah’s Here | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hairtrigger Heart | 30.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Ellie’s a Wildcat | 20.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Mo Bella | 8.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Youens | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Forever Dreaming | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ready To Venture (GB) | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scarlett Lace | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Now Yus Cant Leave | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Drawn to Race (GER) | 3.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tecate Time | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mo Normal | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | World of Wonder | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Palio Flag | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cheetara (CHI) | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Euphoric | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Becca’s Rocket | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sterling Miss | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Dazzling Sun (SAF) | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Maid of Honor | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Postnup | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Princess Theorem | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Clara Peeters (GB) | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Strollin the Bayou | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Russian Mafia | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flatter Me Silly | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Reina de Mollendo (ARG) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Watrugonnadokaren | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Good Penny | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 9 | Gianna’s Gift | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gutzy | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Drewmazing | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Baseball Lover | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bron and Brow | 1.20 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Order Up | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Prado’s Priority | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Two B | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Attorney Tim | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Midnight Tea Time | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cash Logistics | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Monarchs Glen (GB) | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Logical Myth | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | T D Dance | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bemma’s Boy | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dyn O Mite | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Own Agenda | 4.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beachcombing | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Double Crown | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | American Tattoo (ARG) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Cowboy Diplomacy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Glacial | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Charco | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unified Report | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Baladi | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Buckingham Prince | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alebrije | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kissalot | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nineties Country | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Allen Black Cat Lacombe Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Dreamworker | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kneesnhips | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Taylor’s Secret | 30.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pearl Earring | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Luck Is Fickle | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | New Year’s Eve | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lolloping | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | California Angel | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cecilita | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mariah’s Fortune | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Honeysuckledelight | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | That’s My Mama | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Macee | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Bareta | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Drewsilla | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ask Dale | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Run Natalie Run | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Isn’t It Time | 5.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ours and Theirs | 6.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 1A | 10 | Pineapple Alley | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | My Little Mia | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.