Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, March 12, 2022

March 12, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 5 Moment to Dream 1.40 2.8 5-1
1A 7 Rydenseek 1.40 3.8 7-1
6 6 Sweet Jackieleigh 12.00 5.4 10-1
3 2 Cosmic Belle 6.00 6.2 12-1
5 4 Sadie’s Port 5.00 SCRATCH
10 11 Tantalizing Ten 20.00 SCRATCH
11 12 Absolutely Mindy 30.00 SCRATCH
9 10 Lawsuit Lucy 4.50 10.6 20-1
2 1 Savannah’s Here 30.00 10.7 20-1
4 3 Hairtrigger Heart 30.00 10.8 20-1
7 8 Ellie’s a Wildcat 20.00 11.2 21-1
8 9 Mo Bella 8.00 11.4 22-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Youens 3.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Forever Dreaming 5.00 2 4-1
8 8 Ready To Venture (GB) 4.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Scarlett Lace 10.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Now Yus Cant Leave 10.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Drawn to Race (GER) 3.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Tecate Time 10.00 8.2 15-1
3 3 Mo Normal 8.00 8.3 16-1
9 9 World of Wonder 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Palio Flag 3.50 1.1 2-1
2 2 Cheetara (CHI) 2.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Euphoric 3.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Becca’s Rocket 4.00 3 6-1
1 1 Sterling Miss 3.50 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Dazzling Sun (SAF) 8.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Maid of Honor 15.00 2.5 5-1
10 8 Postnup 5.00 2.9 6-1
8 7 Princess Theorem 3.50 4.9 9-1
7 6 Clara Peeters (GB) 4.00 5.2 10-1
6 5 Strollin the Bayou 10.00 6.4 12-1
4 3 Russian Mafia 8.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Flatter Me Silly 8.00 8.1 15-1
3 3 Reina de Mollendo (ARG) 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Watrugonnadokaren 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Good Penny 12.00 SCRATCH
11 9 Gianna’s Gift 20.00 10.2 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Gutzy 3.50 1.7 3-1
6 6 Drewmazing 15.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Baseball Lover 6.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Bron and Brow 1.20 3.6 7-1
3 3 Order Up 12.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Prado’s Priority 3.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Two B 12.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Attorney Tim 6.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Midnight Tea Time 8.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Cash Logistics 10.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Monarchs Glen (GB) 3.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Logical Myth 10.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 T D Dance 5.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Bemma’s Boy 6.00 5 10-1
7 7 Dyn O Mite 12.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Own Agenda 4.50 7.3 14-1
4 4 Beachcombing 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Double Crown 4.50 SCRATCH
12 12 American Tattoo (ARG) 5.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Cowboy Diplomacy 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Glacial 8.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Charco 2.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Unified Report 3.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Baladi 10.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Buckingham Prince 3.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Alebrije 20.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Kissalot 8.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Nineties Country 5.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Allen Black Cat Lacombe Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Dreamworker 5.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Kneesnhips 6.00 2.7 5-1
10 10 Taylor’s Secret 30.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Pearl Earring 5.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Luck Is Fickle 12.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 New Year’s Eve 4.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Lolloping 6.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 California Angel 8.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Cecilita 8.00 8.6 16-1
1 1 Mariah’s Fortune 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Honeysuckledelight 8.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 That’s My Mama 4.00 4 7-1
1 3 Macee 3.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Miss Bareta 8.00 4.4 8-1
10 11 Drewsilla 15.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Ask Dale 8.00 6.4 12-1
3 2 Run Natalie Run 12.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Isn’t It Time 5.00 8.8 17-1
4 4 Ours and Theirs 6.00 9.1 17-1
1A 10 Pineapple Alley 3.00 SCRATCH
7 7 My Little Mia 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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