Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, March 12, 2022

March 12, 2022 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Sonic Kitten 4.00 1 2-1
11 11 Wizard Serrat 20.00 1.7 3-1
12 12 Just Praise 8.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Macho Time 12.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Munger 6.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Unico 15.00 3 6-1
1 1 Poetic Code 3.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Drinksonthebeach 8.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 One More Day 30.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Muromec 6.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Summer Shandee 10.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Cassidys Gold 30.00 4.8 9-1
13 13 Mekano 3.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Tetragrammaton 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Caloric 6.00 2 4-1
6 6 Miracle Silver 4.50 2 4-1
2 2 Ambassador Jim 5.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Golden Decision 3.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 Colonist 12.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Til the End 3.50 4.1 8-1
4 4 Battle of Blenheim 4.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Always a Party 2.00 1.9 4-1
9 9 Atomic Rose 6.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 She Is Royalty 30.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 More Glory 12.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Crooklyn 12.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Holiday Princess 4.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Miss Youniverse 8.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Nobody’s Secret 2.50 2.9 6-1
2 2 The Cuban Missile 30.00 3.1 6-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 11 Celestial Glaze 3.50 1 2-1
9 9 Inevitable Me 6.00 2 4-1
8 8 Inner Wave 15.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Pemberton 15.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Green Dot Brah 8.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Aries Reigns 30.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Robbedinthebahamas 20.00 2.8 5-1
10 10 Send D Package 30.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Bourbon Over Ice 3.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Regio 20.00 4 7-1
7 7 Magic Pro 10.00 5.1 10-1
11 11 Benny the Book 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Midnight Bella 8.00 2 4-1
7 6 I’m Listening 8.00 2.4 4-1
4 3 Odramark 4.50 4.2 8-1
6 5 Flying Black 6.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Antigone 3.50 4.5 9-1
5 4 Smart Spending 3.00 5.1 10-1
8 7 Serenade a Kitten 5.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Papa’s Little Girl 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Watasha 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Surging 15.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 Dominant Destroyer 30.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Guard of Honour 12.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Riot House 3.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Analogy 4.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Causin’ Mayhem 6.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Liam’s Blue Moon 8.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Khufu 8.00 3 6-1
10 10 Pieer Ror 30.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Bernie Lomax 30.00 SCRATCH
12 12 My Older Brother 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Grand David 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Superstitieux 10.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Sir Samuel 30.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Commander Biz 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Hurricane Bertie S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Obligatory 1.60 1.3 2-1
4 4 Starship Nala 6.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 My Destiny 5.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Bramble Berry 8.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Feeling Mischief 12.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Four Graces 1.80 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Arturo Toscanini (IRE) 3.00 1.4 3-1
6 5 Megayacht 4.50 1.6 3-1
4 3 Shady McGee (IRE) 6.00 2.3 4-1
9 8 Jimmy D 10.00 5.5 10-1
7 6 Malthael 3.50 6 11-1
3 2 Risk Manager 6.00 6.1 11-1
5 4 Another Duke 20.00 6.2 12-1
8 7 Call Curt 10.00 8.5 16-1
1 1 Road to Meath 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Emirates Road 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Under Oath 6.00 1.1 2-1
9 9 Cape Trafalgar 5.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Double Play King 20.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Stay Restless 2.50 1.6 3-1
8 8 Proven Hope 8.00 2 4-1
5 5 Unikee 10.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Wind At My Back 12.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Law of the Jungle 15.00 2.5 5-1
10 10 Majority Partner 20.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Fredo 30.00 3.1 6-1
12 12 Ocotzingo 30.00 3.1 6-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Captiva Island S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Miss J McKay 2.50 2.4 5-1
8 6 Headline Hunter 12.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Bernie’s Mistress 30.00 2.7 5-1
6 5 Naughty Shirley 15.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 La Libertee 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 3 Miss Auramet 3.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Tobys Heart 2.00 SCRATCH
7 7 A G Indy 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ghostlore 6.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Perfect Silent Cat 15.00 3 6-1
4 4 Ludington 5.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Rebelde 3.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Critical Threat 4.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Create Again 1.80 4.5 8-1
7 7 Caxambas Candy 15.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 7 Hatari 4.00 1.8 3-1
3 2 Omixochitl 8.00 2 4-1
12 10 Up Her Sleeve 10.00 2.3 4-1
11 9 Mandy Green 12.00 2.4 4-1
5 3 Strong Embrace 3.50 2.4 5-1
10 8 Keen Kingdom 15.00 3.1 6-1
7 5 Its a Birdie 20.00 3.3 6-1
8 6 Sandpiper Memories 12.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Fish Mooney 4.50 9.2 17-1
2 2 Chess Not Checkers 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Bravo Zulu 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Lily’s Lead 20.00 SCRATCH
6 4 Brittiz 6.00 11 21-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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