Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, March 12, 2022

March 12, 2022 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Never Have I Ever (IRE) 3.50 3 6-1
2 2 Mr. Lovejoy 6.00 4.2 8-1
10 8 Psycho Dar 2.50 4.6 9-1
3 3 Alleva 15.00 6.1 11-1
7 6 Whisky My God (ARG) 12.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Barristan The Bold (GB) 3.00 6.3 12-1
8 7 Silver Summer 12.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Midnight Special 15.00 8.1 15-1
6 6 Candy Zip 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Vroysky 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Work to Live 1.40 1.9 4-1
3 3 Lovely Lola 1.60 2.2 4-1
1 1 Soul of a Warrior 8.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Nang Singha 2.50 3.5 7-1
4 4 Duxonthepond 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Carroll Girl 2.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 Sunny Morning (FR) 3.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Queen Ofthe Temple 4.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Ruby Ray 8.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Glenall (IRE) 4.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Phenom 6.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Washington Square 15.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 Vulin 20.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Brutto 2.50 1.7 3-1
4 4 Scary Fast Smile 1.60 2 4-1
5 5 Escape Route 1.80 2.2 4-1
1 1 Fight On 5.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Sea to Success 10.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Get Her Number 5.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Border Town 4.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Harbored Memories 2.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Vantastic 3.00 4 8-1
3 3 Gregdar 4.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Encoder 12.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Jungle Cry 8.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Street Ruckus 2.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Bud Knight 2.50 2.4 5-1
4 4 Mongolian Ford 1.80 3.5 7-1
5 5 Star Sailor 3.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Egomania 20.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Tom Bombadil 12.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Ice Cold Gold 4.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 She’s So Shiny 3.50 3.6 7-1
9 8 Midnight’s Girl 6.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Girl Ranger 6.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Travel Smart 2.50 5.2 10-1
6 6 Beachgrass 8.00 6 11-1
8 7 Tapit Doux 12.00 6.6 13-1
2 2 Sue Ettas Ghost 8.00 7 13-1
7 98 Precious Insight 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Take a Leap 3.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 A New Peace 4.00 3 6-1
5 5 Busy Paynter 3.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Miss Tokyo 10.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Island Life 8.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Li’l Grazen 4.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Chollima 8.00 6.6 13-1
6 6 Big Passion 10.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – San Luis Rey S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Current 8.00 3 6-1
2 1 Red King 8.00 3 6-1
8 6 Henley’s Joy 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 3 Dicey Mo Chara (GB) 6.00 3.3 6-1
6 5 Acclimate 4.00 3.9 7-1
9 7 Offlee Naughty 10.00 6.3 12-1
3 2 Airman 20.00 8.3 16-1
1 1 Say the Word 2.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Award Winner 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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