March 13, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | My Inspiration | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mighty Meister | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Laban M Mo | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Forestwood Lane | 1.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bell Boy | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Looking to Heaven | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | Addilyn | 1.40 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Investment Grade | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Girl Annie | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mebs Web | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Cover Photo | 1.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1A | 5 | Up Seventyfour | 1.40 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Badgerville | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Juggler | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ready to March | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Winter Son | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Printrack | 0.60 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Waheel | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Street Culture | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | How You Feeling | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Sleepychipmunk | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hardly Working | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bosship | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Data Deal | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Moons the Limit | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tamburro’s Sox | 2.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jump Starter | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Baltasar | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Funny Joke | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Motion to Strike | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Inspiration Point | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Smart Storm | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nature Boy | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lord Licorice | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Damon Runyon S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Best Idea | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Agility | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | G Munning | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rotknee | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mister Larry | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ifihadachance | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shadolamo | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wasp | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Epona’s Dream | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quality Stones | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Khali Magic | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Choose Happiness | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Honor Among Men | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lookin for Trouble | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Brown Shoes | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Storm Shooter | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bureaucrat | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Taco Bean | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Saint Selby | 1.80 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | One Whirlwind Ride | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Platinum Road | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Crostata B C | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | He’sgottashortfuse | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Appalachian Legend | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vincent | 1.60 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Crock of Gold | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Out of the Breech | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Boom Boom Kaboom | 1.80 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Unlikely | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.