March 13, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Oak Hill Lg | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Magic Lightning | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Freed | 3.50 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Forty Three | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Fighting Soldier | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Checkulater | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Josan | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Couyons Cause | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Varsity Flygirl | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Glance | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Northern Alliance | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Angel of Verdun | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Havinfunyet | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Calaja | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Corluna | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 8 | Champagne Horizon | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 9 | A Little Flyer | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Girl in Black | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kasen’s Sister | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Speak to Me | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eponher | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Missing Piece | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Halfglamorous | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thetruthisthetruth | 2.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 5 | Golden V C | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 3 | Bernie Special | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 4 | Sun Striker | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1A | 2 | Federal Exchange | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heals the Soul | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Spankhurst | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Kidyounot | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Sweet Dreams Babe | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Impact Player | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | King of the Testo | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | The Gray Blur | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | W W Kan Do | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Honorarian | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Two Dot | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Buck Dynasty | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Magi | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mosta Flyin | 30.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Spectrolite | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Landofthepharaohs | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Okudah | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mr. Peterkin | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ronithelimodriver | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gunner Paul | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hot Stove League | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Filippo | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aniclude | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Runner | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Groom Lake | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Leroy Jenkins | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bitsy’s Custom C | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | G Don’t Know | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grief | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gold Punch | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cypriano | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Whacudposblygowrng | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cryptozonic | 4.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | In a Bind | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 7 | Ready for Change | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Inajiffy | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Mom’s Red Lipstick | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dance Rhythms | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Risky Reward | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mucha Mezquina | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Blissful Change | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Cool Runnings | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | T G’s Nelson | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Steely Danza | 3.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gran Muchaco | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I’m a Flashy Kid | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Joyful Candy | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gorostieta’s Love | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sportini | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Tee Burns | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | B W P Special | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Herms Crown | 20.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Co Conspirator | 8.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dr. Benny | 8.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.