Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, March 13, 2022

March 13, 2022 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Stakes) – Las Flores S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Private Mission 1.20 2.2 4-1
4 3 Dynasty of Her Own 8.00 2.9 5-1
3 2 Edgeway 0.80 3.1 6-1
5 4 Aloha Kitten 15.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Park Avenue 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Allaboutthemoney 1.80 1.5 3-1
4 4 Fort Bridger 2.00 2 4-1
1 1 Too Late 2.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Verragio 3.50 3.8 7-1
5 5 Abadon 12.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Arrabiata 2.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Make Mine Wine 5.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Street Art 3.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 King Apollo 6.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Clampett 3.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Town Boy 6.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Divine Feminine 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tayet 2.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 With This Vow 2.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Smoothlikebuttah 2.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Wild Arch 8.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Stoic Luna 3.00 3.8 7-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 King Rob 6.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Sync 4.00 2.9 6-1
8 8 Thrive 1.20 3.7 7-1
7 7 Awkward Morning 8.00 4 8-1
2 2 Mongolian Bonus 6.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Cross Indian 15.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Big Event 30.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Whiskey Vision 6.00 6 11-1
1 1 Missing Maurice 50.00 8.9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Big Sweep 2.50 2.2 4-1
6 5 She’s So Nice (IRE) 3.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Royal Address (IRE) 2.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 California Kook 2.50 3.8 7-1
1 1 Miss Fia 8.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Heathers Grey 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Arthur Spooner 3.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Smiling Goodbye 4.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Romeo’s Glory 8.00 3.4 7-1
3 3 Funkenstein 3.50 3.9 7-1
1 1 Forgotten Vows 3.50 4.6 9-1
7 7 Speed Grazy 12.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Dutch Bus 6.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Sawasdee 15.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Countess Rosina (IRE) 2.50 1.8 3-1
7 7 Vivando 3.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Scenic Masterpiece 4.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Topolina 5.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Violent Runner 8.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Snark 6.00 5 9-1
2 2 Money Baby 12.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Yadiama 12.00 7.4 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement providesĀ no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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