March 16, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Power Jet | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Run Rocket | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Outlaw X. | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Social Afleet | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Like Mike | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Guitar Slim | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Luckenbacher | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Forged in Steel | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Custom Bobby’s | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Play Mo | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Duvee | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Janets Jay Jay | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zong Tough | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wicked Rose | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Jeb’s Lucky Eight | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Nosy Banker | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1A | 8 | Soul Song | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Louisiana Hero | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Loveu and Proudofu | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 3 | C’Mon Ve | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Crusader Express | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 4 | Reckless Ransom | 2.50 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Halfmoon Reef | 4.50 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Luke’s Cajun Star | 8.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Wicked Wonder | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dallas Volunteer | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Honey Run | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Chamita | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Clare | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chaton Rouge | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mission Belle | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Crypto Brave | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Philly Wins | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Charged Temp | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Elsie Girl | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Madame Jane | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Tugboat | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Maggie’s Return | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Steph’s Spirit | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ruby Begonia | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 1A | 10 | Dream Peaceful | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Dream Town | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ephemeral | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hohohoho | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Infinite Solutions | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Moon Over Tuscany | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pink Channel | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Coinmaker | 5.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mschitchattour | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sneak Peek | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alittlebitofsmarty | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Nana’s Gray | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Us Second Cute Pie | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Microcap | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | It’sfiftyshadetime | 20.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Audrey’s Time | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Clairiere | 0.80 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Super Quick | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Tizafeelin | 4.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Misty Veil | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 5 | Brion | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 15 | 8 | Curlin’s Malibu | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Guest Speaker | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Condemn | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 16 | 9 | Cyclone | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 7 | Kiawah Breeze | 5.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Sharp Double Edge | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Lapis Lazuli | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sooley | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Treasure Hunting | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Boss Moon Benny | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Levee Proud | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Evan Sing | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Tempo Madness | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Eye Dee Kay | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Bet He’s Ready | 3.50 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Big Union | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pledgeofallegiance | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Backshot | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bootsie’s Galaxy | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Win Ya Win | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Conga Boy | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Charge the Line | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beep Beep | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Carry Thy Cross | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Long and Strong | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Citizen West | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Abuelo Nuno | 8.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.