March 18, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Fort Bonz | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I Don’t Fly Coach | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Grand Priority | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | We Need a Five | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I Like Dreaming | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shackle the Gold | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mista Valentine | 5.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bayou Sarge | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Three Ks | 8.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Blue Ridge Red | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 9 | Lillie and Nan | 12.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 3 | Angie At Theoffice | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Higher Note | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1A | 2 | Pi Yo Princess | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Heart of Indee | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 4 | Featured Power | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Lumberjack Empire | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Songs Discreet Cat | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Palace Magic | 1.20 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Chardonnay | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Malibu Marie | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Taleofreadychianti | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hidden Wonder | 1.80 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mystique Saboteur | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bode’s Light | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Lake Nakuru | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tio Blas | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Zoffa | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Citadel | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | One Time Gem | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Smokey Harbor | 2.50 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Immortal | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | East Lex | 6.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 1A | 11 | Amended | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 12 | A. K. Safari | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Vincitore | 12.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Martinized | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Charlies Ticket | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | It’s a Bird | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dusty Boy | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Our Blue Jay | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cameo Dancer | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Drilling Report | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Love to Singh | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lomu | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | On Your Mark | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Complex System | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Schmoozin | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ready to Roll | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Twirling Roses | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Long and Strong | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Bobby Brown | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sir Giannis | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Steadytillready | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Perfect Speighty | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sounion | 5.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ebben | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nashville | 1.40 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Digital | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Long Weekend | 1.80 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Blue Bonzai | 20.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tiwanaku | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Loco | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cash Rocket | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | High Deff (FR) | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sailor’s Return | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flat Out American | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Port Royal | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Big Paper | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Cryptic Code | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Start Well | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shelli’s Angel | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Akiane’s Soldier | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Grey Beauty | 2.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Graceleadsushome | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Averi Ever After | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Zeatrical | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | A G’s Charlotte | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Glory to Me | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.