March 20, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Birthday Party | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fiftyfive Strong | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gun War | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | F J’s Gem | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Valiant Defender | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | C F Johnathan | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Joeboy | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Spectacular Izzy | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Swimhard Dreambig | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bodie On Pointe | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Missgreeley’ssong | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Social Galaxy | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Midnight Trip | 2.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Star Prado | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Golden Expresso | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She’s a Fair Catch | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Cheyann Glitters | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Brave Nugget | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | St Maria | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Song of Paradise | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Slide | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mrs. Della | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blue Ridge Romance | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Strong Chick | 5.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Allstar Magic | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | She’s Our Star | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Nin to Win | 10.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Joey’s Sassy Shana | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Missbudlitelime | 3.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Steph’sfullasugar | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Explosively Hot | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gator Proud | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Air Guitar Star | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Money Well Spent | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1A | 8 | Visionofwildtimes | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 10 | World War | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Alliaceous | 2.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Little Jen | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 3 | Bellamy Cay | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | J Z’s First | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nofansinthestands | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Veilazig | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Smart Pegasus | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bobbies Reason | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mayapretty | 3.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Ridge Queen | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Beautiful Bella | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Quest for Avette | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chimney Rock | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Apache Tears | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cajun Berti | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pillage Da Village | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hooray Austin | 5.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Makati Phil | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Prizeless | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Sydster | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Mucho Marvin | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Half Ours N Stormy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Four Sevens | 8.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Bayou | 15.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Drakkar | 4.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Total Malice | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fashion Moon | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Winning Quality | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cry Like a Baby | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Green Monster | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kick N Kiss | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Belmar Beauty | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cave Creek | 8.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Blondie Lox Babe | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | California Holiday | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fed Money | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Reigning Spirit | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Courageously | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cartier Cat | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Arabian Prince | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shippingport | 8.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Holy Emperor | 6.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Rising Empire | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Gimme Some Mo | 12.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Universe | 6.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Draft Choice | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Runwildwithdreams | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stone Alliance | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Magnolia Ridge | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | All Mike No Mae | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Classic’s Omega | 12.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Soulology | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Bodee Bodee | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | More Harder | 5.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Anyotherquestions | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vero Campione | 8.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | R T’s d’Oro | 20.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hard Kings | 20.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.