March 23, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Spy a Star | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I Love to Race | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Bay | 1.40 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Custom for Carlita | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tiddly | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rivetrix | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Blue Ridge Red | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | P T’s Flash | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gina’s Brother | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tripper John | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Back Alley Jammin | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Doctrinaire | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | K T’s Jilted Groom | 4.50 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Boss Man | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Down Cold | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Fightville | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Stockpiler | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cause to Cruise | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Iberville | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Uninvited Guest | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Monarch Man | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Practice Squad | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Customize My Quest | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Unbridled Hope | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Johnny Bootleggs | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pac the Pulpit | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bodee Bodee | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kannon With a K | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pa Pi | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aw Heck | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Run to Blade | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Sy Michael | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Your Time’s Coming | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Coffee County | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Perrins | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Battle of Will | 4.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Toe Bandit | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Big Chopper | 5.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1A | 12 | Everlovinghand | 4.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Deer Crossing | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Scoring Drive | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Port o’ Call | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Pleasant Vision | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Tigerbeach | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gotta Go | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Curtin’s Up | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Deano | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rockdale | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jack the Umpire | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sharp Sensation | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Keen Heir | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lord Zed | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Keys Included | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tricolour | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brother Harold | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cryptic Code | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Curlin Edges | 10.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fastnfurious | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Corrente de Ouro | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Janisthebeauty | 4.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stella Link | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Super Et | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bitsy C C Lil Girl | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kiss Goodbye | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vale Male | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Prissy Jaden | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Loco Poco | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sixtythreecaliber | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fly Me Home | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | High Speed | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Diamant Damhsa (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Medway Queen | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Most Empressive | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ryan’s Grace | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jalebi Baby | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Please Be Kind | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Summer Tsunami | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Queen in the North | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | My Friend Amy | 3.50 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Three Run Homer | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Greeley Went West | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Unwanted Intruder | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Lucky Streaker | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Caeus in Pasadena | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Friendofthecourt | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Queeten | 3.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Perfecture | 3.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Run Away Son | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.