Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, March 26, 2022

March 26, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Violent Outburst 5.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Exactitude 6.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Misread 6.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Belle Rebelle 3.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Georgetown Road 3.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Catch Magic 8.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 Speaking of Change 10.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Patna 6.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 McGolden 8.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 My Brother Patrick 8.00 2.4 5-1
10 10 Beyblader 8.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Mazuma 3.00 8.2 15-1
3 3 Urban Recovery 8.00 9.6 18-1
7 7 Tepeu 8.00 9.6 18-1
9 9 Madison Luvs Duke 8.00 9.6 18-1
1 1 Faith Runner 4.50 SCRATCH
2 2 King Doodle 10.00 10 19-1
6 6 Mizzen Man 10.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Crescent City Oaks

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Serape 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Wholelottamo 3.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Miss Jana 5.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 My Nanny’s a Hoot 8.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Mishpachah 8.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Dreaming of Neany 6.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Buckley Bunny 10.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Bode’s Connection 15.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 Courtly Doc 12.00 8.8 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Missoni 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Spring Magic 8.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Coco Puff 6.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Treasure of War 8.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Fancy Martini 10.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Maria Gone Wild 30.00 6.7 13-1
11 11 Forgotten Realm 4.50 7.3 14-1
3 3 Amenset 8.00 9.2 17-1
9 9 Lady Got Moves 8.00 9.2 17-1
2 2 World Premier 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Tethered 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Crescent City Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Vodka Gimlet 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 More Memories 5.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Cosmic Train 10.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Play Mo 12.00 3 6-1
3 3 Tambourine Star 12.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Its Wild Again 12.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Jack Bob and Larry 8.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Unified Report 4.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Fiesty Fist 8.00 10.2 19-1
10 10 Bind Faith 12.00 11 21-1
11 11 Itellyouthefacts 12.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Costa Rising S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Bertie’s Galaxy 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Classy John 4.50 1.1 2-1
3 3 X Clown 4.50 1.1 2-1
14 14 Swot Analysis 6.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 A Song for Arch 8.00 3.1 6-1
12 12 Yankee Seven 8.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Alterana 8.00 7.9 15-1
10 10 Hail State 12.00 8.3 16-1
5 5 Double Barrel Man 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Black Sword 10.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Slither 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Custom Deelite 30.00 10.2 19-1
4 4 Half Again 8.00 10.3 19-1
6 6 Smooth Colliery 20.00 11.6 22-1
11 11 Jake the Band Man 15.00 13.5 26-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Can’t Hush This 6.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Malibu S S 10.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Rammer Jammer 12.00 2 4-1
9 9 Vinco 12.00 2 4-1
1 1 Marsalis 1.80 2.4 5-1
13 13 Zartownis 8.00 3 6-1
14 14 Greys the Boy 8.00 3 6-1
3 3 Hyperbolist 20.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Cloud Without Rein 10.00 7.7 15-1
10 10 Lagoon 10.00 7.7 15-1
7 7 Strobe 3.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Omaha Red 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Words of Wisdom 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Tapit to the Line 30.00 11.7 22-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Tom Benson Memorial S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 She Can’t Sing 6.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Clara Peeters (GB) 10.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Hendy Woods 2.50 2 4-1
4 4 Gam’s Mission 3.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Lake Lucerne 5.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Miss Tulsa 30.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 I Hear You 12.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Russian Mafia 12.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Lovely Ride 4.50 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – New Orleans Classic S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Proxy 2.50 1.2 2-1
1 1 Promise Keeper 3.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Happy American 8.00 2 4-1
3 3 Super Stock 8.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Chess Chief 8.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Olympiad 1.60 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Muniz Memorial Classic S. Presented By Horse Racing Nation

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Cavalry Charge 10.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Forty Under 10.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Another Mystery 12.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Devamani (FR) 2.50 1.7 3-1
9 9 Santin 3.50 1.7 3-1
8 8 Two Emmys 15.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Sacred Life (FR) 2.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Peacock Kitten 30.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Captivating Moon 15.00 8.2 16-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Twinspires.com Fair Grounds Oaks

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Echo Zulu 0.60 1.2 2-1
6 6 Hidden Connection 5.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Bernabreezy 8.00 2 4-1
3 3 Favor 8.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Turnerloose 6.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Sequist 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Twinspires.com Louisiana Derby

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Rattle N Roll 6.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Call Me Midnight 6.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Epicenter 1.40 1.6 3-1
7 7 Pioneer of Medina 5.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Kupuna 8.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Curly Tail 30.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Silent Power 50.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Zozos 8.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Galt 8.00 7.6 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.