March 27, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | U Cant Handle This | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Delicious | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | In Sandals | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | London Gold | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Anchor Lady | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Roma Carpe | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thatsjustlovely | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Becauseofthebrave | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Lordhearmyprayer | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Toned Up | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Courageous Girl | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Suspended Campaign | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Love and Love | 1.20 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Frost Me | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kaz Sugar Bank | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Front Porch | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Colloquy | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Thrill of It | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | American Rocky | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kong Loves a Fight | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Double Maker | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mandatory | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rocco Strong | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Full Court Press | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kaz’s Beach | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chowda | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Market Alert | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jerry the Nipper | 1.80 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Clairarific | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Beauxs Artes | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Goodmorning Angel | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Run Up the Score | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Baby Man | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Always Aware | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Everyoneloveslinda | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | World Traveler | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Handy | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Palatial Times | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dark Storm | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Glory Road | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Easy Shot | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon Bay | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vintage Hollywood | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Its All Relevant | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 6 | Mr Phil | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 4 | Arthur’s Hope | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Competitive Saint | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 3 | Jemography | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Sagamore Mischief | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | American Monarch | 1.80 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Core Conviction | 1.20 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Fitzpatrick | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – East View S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Yo Cuz | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stone Creator | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sandy’s Garden | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Silver Fist | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Salsa a Parte | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Captainsdaughter | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Mebs Web | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Carly Hustle | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Red Pepper Grill | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Calescent | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Calibogue Sound | 1.60 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Super Twenty Seven | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Keepmyeyeontheboys | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Matoula | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 9 | Mission Trail | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.