March 27, 2022 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mr. J. McKay | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sooley | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Boss Moon Benny | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | All Over Oliver | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Almanzo | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Herms Crown | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sergeant Reckless | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Old Hickory | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Brimestone Kid | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Legacy’s Song | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Ahimaaz | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Point of Victory | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tuffology | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rose Crown | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Linz | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dial Em In | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gilded Apple | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | For Real Alice | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Active Girl | 10.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Oma Lee | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kehron’s Creed | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Candy’s Parade | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Perhaps Tonight (IRE) | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Stone Arch Bridge | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hohohoho | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nana’s Gray | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Galileas Promise | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Girl’s On Fire | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gris Tormenta | 20.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Just Passing Thru | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Supertaleofhoudini | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | World Party | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Julesforyou | 20.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Alittlebitofsmarty | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Hotpin | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Guitartuition Plzz | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Cheatin Charlie | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Helaire | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Adieu Le Chat | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Magic Lightning | 5.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Flashy Premo | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Classical Magnolia | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Ry Dont Lie | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Forty Three | 8.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cajun Cannon | 12.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Permanentdetention | 8.00 | 11.9 | 23-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Big Merrill | 10.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 | |
| 1A | 14 | Catchin Drama | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Grinning Tiger | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Verb | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Yes He Can | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | High Limit Room | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Black Sword | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mischief’s Machine | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Denver City | 4.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hooperdrivesthboat | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Populist | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Coltonator | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Trader Price | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Iron in the Fire | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1A | 13 | Relic Hunter | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Big Ace | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jimmie’s Halo | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Touchuponastar | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Deal With Him | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | And Fifty | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Check Me Out | 6.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Risktaker | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Big Boo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Killingsworth | 20.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fighting Soldier | 50.00 | 13 | 25-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Payday Too | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Forestdungone | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cabo’s Rumor | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Imindycatbirdseat | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Power Jet | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bayou Jam | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vision of Angels | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Unrestricted | 4.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Waitin’ On a Woman | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Callinginthenight | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Creole Charlie | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Schnell | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Binding Agreement | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Double Barrel Man | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Foolish Dreams | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mageez | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | May Hour | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Free Indeed | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | No Pedigree | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Galaxy Thirtysix | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Janets Jay Jay | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Like Mike | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Just Blaze | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Get None | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bourbon Tan | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Honey Won’t | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Coco Tiger | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Corot | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Freedom Factor | 5.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Drewzano | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 10 | Lovethatcause | 12.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Crusader Express | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Hug the Munny | 4.50 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Makati Phil | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 1A | 13 | Spectrolite | 12.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Shantel Lanerie Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Net a Bear | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Winning Romance | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fort Polk | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spirited Beauty | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She’s Gone d’Wild | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Strummer | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tecate Time | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Saints N Muskets | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Gigablast | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Page Cortez S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ova Charged | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Offspring | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Condesa’s Handmaid | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Snowball | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eileen Alexandra | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gigablast | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fame Feather | 4.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Star Guitar S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Treys Midnite Moon | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Budro Talking | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Highland Creek | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Who Took the Money | 1.80 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ballinonabudjet | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Behemah Star | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jax Man | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jimi’s a Star | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Freedomfi | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | It’s a Bird | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Maga Man | 12.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Drewhustle | 30.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Silver Galaxy | 12.00 | 12.4 | 23-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Speaktomeoflove | 12.00 | 12.4 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | G’s Deadline | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Gone Sweet | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lone Star Diva | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mi Lia | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Storied Trip | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vita | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Crimson Feline | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Halfglamorous | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Eponher | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Debs Prayer | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Lil Ashley B. | 10.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | The Missing Piece | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mila’s Gold | 8.00 | 11.9 | 23-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Nine Line Bind | 20.00 | 13.2 | 25-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.