April 2, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Principe d’Oro | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Montauk Point | 1.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nobodyridesforfree | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Strapped | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Burgee | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Fidget | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Total Effort | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jerusalem Gates | 1.40 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ocean Deep | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Coach Bahe | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mister Winston | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Raffinity | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Freddymo Factor | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Girl of Tosconova | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mia Bea Star | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I’m Fine | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Voice of Spring | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Liberty Flame | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Impazible Dream | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Steppin’ Hawk | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mo Nighean Donn | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | True Empress | 1.60 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cousin Kristi | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sabreen | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Handle the Truth | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Appreciate | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Irresistible Girl | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Queentigua | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bella Domenica | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Midmon | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stormi Cat Lady | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sound Money | 2.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sibelius | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lil Commissioner | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Captain Bombastic | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Secret Rules | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Little Menace | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Not a Trick | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Summer Bourbon | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tale of Mist | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Banyan Breeze | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Deputy Flag | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Macho Boy | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | High Command | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dream Bigger | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Excelsior S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Untreated | 1.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | First Constitution (CHI) | 1.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Forewarned | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Son of an Ex | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Splicethemainbrace | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Mischief Mogul | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kingstown | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tonalistic | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vincent | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ria’s Angel | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | He’sgottashortfuse | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | On the Hill | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dancing With Rico | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Red Jet | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.