April 3, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tuesday’s Child | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mad Doctor | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Infeasible | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Forestwood Lane | 1.20 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jump Starter | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bell Boy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Violent Point | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Sweet Mia | 1.60 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hydra | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Baby Boss | 1.60 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Miss Peppina | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Wait a Minute | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Flower Moon | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Candy Monet | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | New York Banker | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Honorable Ruth | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Saratoga Kisses | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alicia’s Way | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Karen’s Cove | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Liam’s Fire | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Somebody | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Double Shot | 1.60 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Joycee Haz Pizzaz | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ragtime Blues | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Work It Out | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Beautiful Banks | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Reeley Psyched | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Daredevil Bull | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Torren’s Tale | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Giant Bottle | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Live in Five | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Jackie’s a Fox | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Go Lime | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Feathers Road | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sinful Dancer | 2.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Listening In | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chapel Road | 3.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mr Breadwinner | 5.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Khufu | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mosienko | 15.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Prairie Fire | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gentle Annie | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Grudge | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Diva Banker | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Saratoga Beauty | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | My Roxy Girl | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Jen’s Battle | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pretty Clever | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Tony’s Girl | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blame It On Mary | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Peak of Chic | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Velvet Sister | 1.20 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Arduously | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blind Sight | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gracefully Wild | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Sugar Baby | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ice Kreem Sundae | 3.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Malala | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dance for Bourbon | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Little Lulu | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Ladyshanghitrevor | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.