April 7, 2022 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Born Into Bad News | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Final Table | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Beyond the Hype | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Alpha Bella | 1.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | T J’s First | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Moonshine Lily | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Game of Inches | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cole Spur | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Totalizer | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vodka N Water | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sparky Hale | 1.80 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Can Man Do | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | American Hero | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Alleluia Angel | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Catch a Whiff | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Buckle Bunny Red | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | K J’s Pistol Annie | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Choctaw Charlie | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lori’s Eyes | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Courtney Fay | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Dutton | 4.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Street Ride | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Englander | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wartime Hero | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Great Faces | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Toma Todo | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tillis | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sun Daddy | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ekati’s Verve | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Seven Flat | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Loyal to the Game | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Major Contender | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Uncle Berley | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alyanaabi | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wildwood Z | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Red Devil | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Group Eighteen | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jim and Jim | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | Dancing Cossack | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Shacks Way | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Blame George | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Belfast Boy | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Megatap | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Violent Pass | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bitcoin Banker | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Wherever He Is | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lundberg | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Treaty | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ice Blast | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Millard’s Smile | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pudge Boy Palace | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tiger Moon | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | El Potente | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Declare the Moon | 6.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dreamer’s Delight | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Scotch No Rocks | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Massard | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Big Java | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Shared Future | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hartley | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gimmick | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Warrior’s Battle | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Monet | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Violent Hailstorm | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ari Oakley | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Little Mombo | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Pinky Toe | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cuz I Can Darling | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shezapistol | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sammies Samurai | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Maxine’s Candy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.