April 8, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cash Kid | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Be Onboard | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Raising Sand | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bold Victory | 0.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Once a Giant | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cugine | 30.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Gussy Mac (IRE) | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | King Kumbalay | 2.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shawdyshawdyshawdy | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Civil War | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Conquer the World | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | So High (GB) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Ghost Giant | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Easter (FR) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Microphone (IRE) | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Lonesome Fugitive (IRE) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Uragano | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hereby | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Salt Cay | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Patrick the Great | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Box of Joe | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Media Sensation | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Golquist | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Safalow’s Mission | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Buckortwo | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Beach Boy Al | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Heymackit’sjack | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Conformist | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Casalsa | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brockmoninoff | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Exxtop | 30.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Truebelieve | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Profusion | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Him She Kisses | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Crypto Cash | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Auburn Hills | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Two Thirty Five | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My First Grammy | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Free Enterprise | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Striking Speed | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Boldish | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | More Ammo | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Empress Theodora | 2.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dolce Sera | 50.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Martini’s Amica | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rhombique | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Libretto (IRE) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Siempre Elegante | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Pruning | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Flaca | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | School of Thought | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Expand the Map (IRE) | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Star of India | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | One More Score | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Unbridled Bomber | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rebel Empire | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Good Skate | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Luni Sima | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Electability | 1.60 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hagler | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eagle in Love | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mashnee Girl | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ifihadachance | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | A Bit o’Irish Sass | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gringotts | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wailin Josie | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shadolamo | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Khali Magic | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pay Grade | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.