April 9, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Union Dolly | 20.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Whiskey Lullaby | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Osiria | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Full Count Felicia | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 12 | Positive Sum | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Approach The Dawn (IRE) | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Snow Loves a Fight | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mac the Pee H Dee | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Solaris Ventum | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Cupids Girl | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Mostly Harmless | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Brisky Frolic | 3.50 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 1A | 14 | Speaks for Itself | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Madame Rose | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Monshun | 1.20 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | World Gone Wild | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fight On Lucy | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Midtown Rose | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Timed Out | 1.40 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Awillaway | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lanfrankophile | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Father Red | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 12 | Howe Street | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Predicted | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Cognitive Bias | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Al’s Rocket | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Prince of Fenton | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Torpedo Run | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Stjames | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bay Street Money | 6.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Corton Charlemagne | 6.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Improper | 8.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 1A | 14 | Devil’s Outlaw | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Curteis | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 15 | Higher Quality | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 16 | Writeitontheice | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Everesting | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Ready To Venture (GB) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Dream of Change (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Miss Tapirado | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Giggle Factory | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Eylara (IRE) | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Game Theory | 50.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Entwine (IRE) | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Timeless Journey | 4.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Investmentstrategy (GB) | 2.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Honey Money | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Distaff H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Zaajel | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kept Waiting | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Glass Ceiling | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Easy to Bless | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Search Results | 1.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dealing Justice | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | American Rule | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lost in Rome | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon Bay | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Joycee Haz Pizzaz | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kumar | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Anything Pazible | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Yankee Division | 1.80 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Goodluckchuck | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Danger’s Hour S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | It’s a Gamble | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Price Talk | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sanctuary City | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rinaldi | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Therapist | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Value Proposition (GB) | 2.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | City Man | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Oceans Map | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Southern District | 0.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Wood Memorial S. Presented By Resorts World Casino
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Early Voting | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | A. P.’s Secret | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Skippylongstocking | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Donegal | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Long Term | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Code | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Barese | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Morello | 1.60 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Carter H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Drafted | 15.00 | 0.9 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Green Light Go | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bank On Shea | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reinvestment Risk | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mind Control | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Speaker’s Corner | 1.60 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | First Captain | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | War Tocsin | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Gazelle S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Morning Matcha | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shotgun Hottie | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nostalgic | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Divine Huntress | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Caragate | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Classy Edition | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Venti Valentine | 1.40 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Greatitude | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Bay Shore S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Outkissed | 30.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Juggler | 50.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Scaramouche | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fromanothamutha | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Highly Respected | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wit | 2.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dean’s List | 2.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Life Is Great | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Runninsonofagun | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Doctor Jeff | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.