April 14, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 6 | No One’s Laughing | 0.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hoodooland | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | World Traveler | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Speaks for Itself | 0.80 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Madame Rose | 50.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Spiked | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mucho Sunshine | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mister Winston | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Scotty | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Liveyourbeastlife | 1.20 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wild Union | 2.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quintarelli | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Heads Or Tails | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Never Early | 1.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Silipo | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Amedeus Music | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jolly Heretic | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bossmakinbossmoves | 3.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Synonymous | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Love Unlimited | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Belleshazza | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Masabeeh | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Candlestick Maker | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Anchor Lady | 50.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Lordhearmyprayer | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Openthegate | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 9 | Investment Income | 0.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sassy Melissa | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ofalltheginjoints | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Proper Grammar | 50.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Palace Gossip | 3.50 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Time Lady | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Uncle’s Gem | 6.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Frosted Bourbon | 30.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Masterof the Tunes | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fontanafredda | 6.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Rigby | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Captivating Cara | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Flip My Id | 10.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ready A. P. | 5.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | No Payne | 20.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Nicholas James | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nature Boy | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Irie Spice | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Boy Colton | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bird Ruler | 2.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Question My Sanity | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alite | 4.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 3 | Flashndynamite | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Cafe Society | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Make Mischief | 1.80 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Default Protection | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hybrid Eclipse | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 98 | Exotic West | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Kygo (GER) | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Highland Chief (IRE) | 4.50 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Little Menace | 12.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Soulmate | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 1 | 7 | So High (GB) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Space Launch | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 15 | Southern District | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 9 | Kuramata (IRE) | 1.60 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 2B | 11 | Flop Shot (IRE) | 1.60 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Famished | 30.00 | 11.4 | 21-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Big Agenda | 20.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Buy Land and See | 8.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Ocala Dream | 10.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Worth a Shot | 6.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 | |
| 1A | 12 | Hieroglyphics | 20.00 | 13.8 | 26-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Smokin’ Hot Kitty | 3.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Dancer | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Act of Congress | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Valentia Island | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Crosstalk | 4.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Merger of Equals | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Darn That Song | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vallelujah | 30.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Oak Loves a Fight | 8.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Cabernet Trail | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Sinfully Sweet | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Voleuse | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Cindy’s Choice | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Belarus | 8.00 | 11.9 | 23-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | That’s Why I’m Me | 30.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Succulent | 20.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.