April 15, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | First to Act | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | St Maarten Girl | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Culdee | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Lakota Spirit | 1.20 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Jabberwock | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aunt Naughty | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Memento Mi | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | King of Sting | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Good Tip | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | American Day | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Al’s Prince | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Left On Boylston | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Strike Price | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bail Out | 2.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nothingtoseehere | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Bold Victory | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Stony Point | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wow | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shouldavbeenmore (FR) | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Secret Love | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Guardian Moon | 1.60 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tasweya | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Map of America | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Wait a Minute | 10.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Shasta Star | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Violent Point | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Cover Photo | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Baba | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Greatest Love | 1.20 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Barista Vixen | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 5 | Expand the Map (IRE) | 1.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Charley Rude | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Naked On the Beach | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Flaca | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Libretto (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Pruning | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Regina | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Star of India | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Ironic Lady | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Jake Rocks | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Colormepazzi | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cajun Commander | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bezos | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Magnificent Chrome | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Extreme | 1.80 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Buckley | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 5 | Exit Right | 1.00 | 0.7 | 1-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Agility | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Straight Skinny | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Forever Wicked | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Ava K’s Boy | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Son of an Ex | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2B | 6 | Kid d’Oro | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 8 | Quickflash | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Olympic Romp | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Easter (FR) | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lonesome Fugitive (IRE) | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Microphone (IRE) | 1.40 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ghost Giant | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | So High (GB) | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Conquer the World | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Good Culture | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Dusted | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Thisladyis the Law | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mispelled Mooon | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Miscreant | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Don’t Be Cheeky | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Adaydreambeliever | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cadencia | 1.60 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gailhorsewind | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Solid Tune | 8.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Twenty Two Elle | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | In Sandals | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Saratoga Commando | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Fleur Elyse | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Heels Together | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Thismightbetheone | 8.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Roma Carpe | 50.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.