April 16, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Proven Hope | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Digitize | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Higher Quality | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jester’s Song | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Papi On Ice | 50.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Barone Marchis | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bell Boy | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Street Culture | 1.40 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sixty Three S | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alarming Mission | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Joe Gonzalez | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Red Jet | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hush of a Storm | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Good Old Boy | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Microsecond | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Danzigwiththestars | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Straw Into Gold | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jack the Cat | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Thin White Duke | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | No Salt | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Therisastormbrewin | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Bingo John | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Plenty Of Grace S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Alms | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flower Point | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Technical Analysis (IRE) | 0.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Plum Ali | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Giacosa | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Halo City | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bosship | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Marshal Dillon | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Yah Huh | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Martinez | 1.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Acalteque | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | El Veinticuatro | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Act Accordingly | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Jump Starter | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Minaun (IRE) | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Messidor (IRE) | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Weekend Fun | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Princess Fawzia | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Can’t Buy Love | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | High Opinion | 2.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Athwaaq | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shesalittle Edgy | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Eloquent Speaker | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Aggregation | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Modern Midas | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Flowing River | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Got the Gold | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Eminency | 2.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Khufu | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Our Son Jake | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Double Maker | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Lord of War | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Barleewon | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | High Tide | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brazillionaire | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hilliard | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Great Workout | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ginnsu Warrior | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spectatorless | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bar Fourteen | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Parade Field | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lady of Thoroton | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Missing Link | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Theodora Grace | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jasminesque | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Thegoddessofsnakes | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Highway Queen | 3.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Freedomofthepress | 3.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stencil | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Bella Principessa | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Chloe Rose | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Red Pepper Grill | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Gentle Annie | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Stella Mars | 10.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bustin Timberlake | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tapizearance | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Runningwscissors | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 11 | Our Man Mike | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Brew Pub | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Prince of Pharoahs | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Winners Laugh | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | River Dog | 4.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Saint Selby | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Golani Brigade | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Listentoyourheart | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.