April 16, 2022 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Chapel Barn | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Carl G | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Firery Tale | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | News Box | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brother Aaron | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dr. Forman | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dixie Street | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Smokeymountainrain | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Funandfunny | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Appraisal | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Road Bible | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | The Feature | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Major Chance | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hard to Park | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bitcoin Banker | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Axis | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shanghai Silver | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cortado | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Outlaw Queen | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Muse | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beach Body | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Mistress | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chaos Magic | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fashionably Quick | 4.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flash of Cherokee | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Brooklyn Diamonds | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Presidential | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | St Andrews | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nineties Country | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Happy Boy Rocket | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blue Norther | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Moonshine Max | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cyber Monday | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Justdennis | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hightail Cowboy | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kilgore | 2.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Warning Label | 3.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aux Arcs | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mapache Man | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heart Headed Arky | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Secret Survivor | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Boston Wally | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Isolate | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seven Nation Army | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | No Shirt No Shoes | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bank | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Basic Chance | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Full Authority | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Well Spent | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I’m the Boss of Me | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Oscarette | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alberta Sun | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Southern Grayce | 2.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hotasapistol | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Connie K | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Egomaniac | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | All West | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Arrival | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Strike a Beat | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Awesome Saturday | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Loch Garman | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Make Noise | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Georgia Deputy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Restoring Hope | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Foxy Ace | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Tonaltalitarian | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Antigravity | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bandit Swanson | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brice | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Super Constitution | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hozier | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Supremacy | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hunka Burning Love | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pats Property | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Smokey Story | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Battle Call | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | El Gemar | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Best Actor | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Chileno | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Life On the Nile | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kunshan Bridge | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vigano | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bonne Chere | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fast and Feminine | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Count Fleet Sprint H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Letsgetlucky | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mojo Man | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jackie’s Warrior | 1.20 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bob’s Edge | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Empire of Gold | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chipofftheoldblock | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lou’s Arrow | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Botany | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jackys Back | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Backgate Red | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Slightly Crafty | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Wully Bully | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Obviously Too | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cybertown | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Young o’ Daine | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Moonshine Vision | 30.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Cats Gotta Chance | 5.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.