April 16, 2022 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | My Final Trick | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lime | 0.40 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Savvy’s Sister | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Finding Perfection | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Someone Else | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Call My Banker | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Light the Lamp | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Uncle Joe | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Invisible Friend | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Summer Sunset | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | October Frost | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tally Road | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dance for Gold | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | We’ve Had Enough | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mi Tormenta | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Our Stormy Sophia | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ms. P’s Bella | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lois Len | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Forest B | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Swirling Dancer | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Khozzy Valintine | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fourteen Days | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ol’ Blondie | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Diamond Crush | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | J M R Gemma | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Icing | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nikolaou | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Commander Joe | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jimmies Big Day | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chancel | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red Mercury | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fast Corey | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beautiful Empire | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Carolena | 4.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sterling Speed | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Wicked Miah | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Take It Easy | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Takota | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Forest Drift | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Garter | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ever So d’Wild | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Long Branch S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Nikee Kan | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jeanie B (GB) | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Our Secret Agent | 1.40 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Imagery | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dreaming of Drew | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ima Beast | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Marais | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Distorted Success | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hallanvaara | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jokers Run | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sassywithattitude | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Humorus Holiday | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Black Taffy | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Infinite Passion | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Free Carrycomb | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.