April 17, 2022 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bodie | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Righteous Robbie | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Coo Bird | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bound Lucky | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red Maple | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ultimate Answer | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Too Legit | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pugin | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grandmas Favorite | 0.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wild River Wolf | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Steel Wool | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Glitter Mountain | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ibrim | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Warp Ride | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Feelthebeat | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Twenty Four Mamba | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Victory Jet | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Thorncliffe S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Not So Quiet | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lapochka | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | White Flag | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Richiesinthehouse | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Silent Poet | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Arzak | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lenny K | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Clear Destination | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spite Store | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Summertime Magic | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Astrological | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Ginger | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Some Like It Hot | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Secrets Told | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gayelette | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Gatling Gun | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Exceed | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tragically Quewick | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I’m a Chi Too | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mad Dog N Joe | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr Narcissistic | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Threefiftyseven | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Executive Sight | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Aim for the Sky | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dot’s Vision | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Speedy Bolt | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Zuma | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Plutonian (IRE) | 1.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | A I Initiative | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Robusto | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Where’s Anthony | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dealmaker | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wake Up Maggie | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gimbala | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.