April 22, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Midmon | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | London Gold | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gagliano | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sudden Impulse | 1.40 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Game Theory | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Simple Sugar | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stormi Cat Lady | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lisa’s Vision | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sinfully Sweet | 1.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Voleuse | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bunty Windermere | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Bean Christine | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | U Should B Dancing | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lollygag | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Flintshire | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cindy’s Choice | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Malala | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bavarian Creme | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Piece of My Heart | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Oxana | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dealing Justice | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Brazil | 1.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rossa Veloce | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Halo City | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Exact Change | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1A | 8 | Grandma T | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Work It Out | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Mill Stone Creek | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Dutchess of N Y | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Thatsjustlovely | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Twenty Two Elle | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | My Delicious | 1.80 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 8 | Lordhearmyprayer | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tempermental | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Over the Sand | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Playmaggieforme | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Raymond Road | 4.50 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Half Birthday | 4.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ourladyofvictory | 12.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lost Anchor | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Boca Kitten | 10.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Backed by Gold | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Dini’s Destiny | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Draw Off | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Gracefully Wild | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Doc Doc Rock | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Glittering Prize | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Dorothy’s the Boss | 5.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Unbridled’s Reign | 12.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Guns Blazing | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Girl Lexi | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Viradia | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady by Choice | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mebs Web | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Barista Vixen | 1.60 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cartwheel | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Big Castle | 1.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Halpert | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Breaking Stones | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Forestwood Lane | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hoboken Jack | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coach Bahe | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fotis | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Litterbox | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pipeline | 0.60 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rocco Strong | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Uncle Moonlight | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Carrothers | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Basso | 50.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Good Culture | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jerry the Nipper | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Silent Running | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Addicted to You | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Maythisbetheone | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Johnselectricride | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Toga Dancer | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Mucho Man | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mighty Meister | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Triple Brown | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Resilient Courage | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | A Lister | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | B C Glory Days | 2.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Napoleon Complex | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Moon Hunter | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Regal Empire | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Media Sensation | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Reservation | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.