April 22, 2022 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Beyond Brown | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flashy Biz | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red Lingerie | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hoping for a Ring | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Simona’s Choice | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beauty Day | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Gusto | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Proud Union | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Razor Ray | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Nugget of Grace | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mora | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Loving Lucky | 2.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | India Tiger | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Royal de Be | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Magic Ice | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bon Deux | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Catania | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Untouched Elegance | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Take Charge Erica | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kasserine Pass | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kewpie Doll | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shi O’Shi | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Shaman | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Stand Proud | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Greatheart | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Best Bet | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bigtime Tegridy | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Tiwanaku | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hellman | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Chrome Run | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mumayaz | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Northern Woods | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Lucky Break | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Southern Pecan | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Oneighthundredcash | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mr. Cougar | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Bumper Pool | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Super Geek | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | J’s Little Man | 10.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Forsaken | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | My Little Tipsy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Max Bet | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Braska | 10.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Holding Pattern | 3.50 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Spirit Soul | 30.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sapphire Royalty | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Camaraderie | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stanley Market | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dare Me | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Epicurean | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Essential Bella | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nisi Prius | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Goblin | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Public Record | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Drag Malibu | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lookinforexcitemen | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Popster | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Glassato | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Wesleyan | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Malintent | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mesmerized | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dreamer’s Delight | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Elusive Freud | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Skyline | 15.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Smarty Grimes | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Topf Road Rules | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Success | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tale of Truth | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bellamys Roan | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dinner At Crumpies | 2.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ghost Strategy | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smokin Boots | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mo Betta | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Fort Peck | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Spa City | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Catdaddy | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Truculent | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lord Dragon | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Shortlist | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon Frontier | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Kershaw | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lastchanceatglory | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.