April 23, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Good Medicine | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Analogy | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Balthus (IRE) | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Grand Cay | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I Am the Law | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Forwardly | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Montauk Point | 0.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Exclusive Order | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Indra | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hydra | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Suspended Campaign | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Quasar | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bustin Bay | 3.50 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prairie Fire | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Big Q | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cara’s Dreamer | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Choose Happiness | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Barkin | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Steal My Heart | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Epona’s Dream | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mischievous Dream | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She’s the One | 2.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pay Grade | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Our Sweet Girl | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chasing Cara | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Impazible Donna | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Letmetakethiscall | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Snicket | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Towering Orbit | 4.50 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Beautiful Karen | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | G Munning | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Uncle George | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kid d’Oro | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Surprise Boss | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sandrone | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Volkert | 4.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bali’s Shade | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Marble Moon | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Deep Cover | 4.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cotton | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Hot Rod Rumble | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Taco Bean | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | My Last Mission | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Exalted Charm | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Eddie the Great | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Noble Conquest | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Actuary (GB) | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sonic Speed | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Laban M Mo | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ocean Deep | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Prayer Book | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Malibu Star | 4.50 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Practice Squad | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Bob in Our Midst | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Kid Bourbon | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Top of the Mint | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Midaswellrun | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Ghostmon | 8.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cabernet Trail | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Capital Gal | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Liberty Flame | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Currency | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cerretta | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Secret Hideout | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Duckphat | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bavarian Creme | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vivazano | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – New York Stallion S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Unique Unions | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kazmike | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Red D G P | 30.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tommy Gun | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mister Larry | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Barese | 0.40 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mo Dancin | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Woodhaven S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Chanceux | 5.00 | 0.9 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Unanimous Consent (GB) | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Maseta | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ohtwoohthreefive | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fort Washington | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heaven Street | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Doctor Jeff | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sharp Sensation | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Joshua | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tonalistic | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Limit Up | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Reap What You Sow | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | He’s Got It | 2.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Crostata B C | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bointheback | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Martini Margarita | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | The Sleepychipmunk | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Perfect Banker | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Pepper King | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | How You Feeling | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Royal Time | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Karma’s Warrior | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Fast N Fearious | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.