April 23, 2022 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Breathing Fire | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gizmo’s B F F | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ya Mar | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Trading Bay | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Speedy Lynn | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Into Empires Song | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Loaded Vixen | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sneaky Rebel | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Legal Steps | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Black Taffy | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dontcallmesweety | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stole the Ring | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Spice in Yuh Life | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Crimson Sky | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Speed Chess | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Formentor | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Verdejo | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Little Fire | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Stylish Gent | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. De | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hidden Honor | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mentoring | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Day Tripper | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Citrus Boy | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Broadway Sky | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Under Surveillance | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Midnight Arkle | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Allpaidup | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Gormley Girl | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bid Once | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kerics Beauty | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dreaminofpassion | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Bobbit | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fun Cool | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Polar Appeal | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Handicap)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Souper Success | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Maximus Momentus | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Western Trouble | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Alacritous | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fielder | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Reconfigure | 2.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Elektronic | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dynamite Karma | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lord of Legends | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Salvator Mundi | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dirty Dangle | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Roman d’Oro | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Millennium Force | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dancing Doll | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spanish Ballerina | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Owen’s Tour Guide | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sparkle Sammy | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Join the Dance | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Starlight Ridge | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bayou Belle | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Silver Magnatized | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hai Bobbi | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Luz de La Luna | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Stunning Rivers | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | High Society Girl | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Royal City Reign | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cora | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Palio Siena | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flawless Pink | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lacougra | 20.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Speedy Fire | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shishka | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Let’s Have Fun | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mi Tormenta | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | Maliciosa | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.