April 24, 2022 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fast N Fearious | 1.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Connected | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lord Brownie | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sensibleconclusion | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Crawford County | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vincent | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Crock of Gold | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Thefabulous Moolah | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Love’s Misery | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Invincible | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kemba | 1.60 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alicia’s Way | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Constitutionalrage | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Summer At the Spa | 2.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rosemary Potatoes | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Easy Play | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Intelligencereport | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Girl’s On Fire | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Sabreen | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Blind Sight | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – New York Stallion S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Yo Cuz | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Celebrity News | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kisses for Emily | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Starship Laoban | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Galaxina | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bank On Anna | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gris Tormenta | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Stanhope | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Propensity | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Athenry | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Subsidize | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chase the Cat | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mo Mischief | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | R Boy Bode | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tale of Mineshaft | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Scotty Brown | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Supersnake | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kay Tee Gal | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | War in Paradise | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Little Miss Minion | 30.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bertinga | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Dancing Bella | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Inkblot | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Phenomenal Woman | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Quiet Type | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | False Hope | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Can’t Fool Me | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Frosty Invasion | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Tingling Mint | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Linarite | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Missing Fortune | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 10 | One Track Mine | 12.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Musical America | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Pete | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Healy’s Hope | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Joycee Haz Pizzaz | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eucharist | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Speeding Kid | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zaevion | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Big Brown Shoes | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lookin for Trouble | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jumpster | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Taco Bean | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Last Mission | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Who Hoo Thats Me | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hot Rod Rumble | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon’s Hope | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Memories Of Silver S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Pizza Bianca | 0.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alittleloveandluck | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | On Alert | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Consumer Spending | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss You Ella | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sail By | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Waters of Merom | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Highgate Road | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Loz | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dreampoint | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Touch of a Buzz | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Constitutional Bid | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Media Sensation | 50.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Saratoga Sky | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Barrel of Quests | 10.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Biondi | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tyrannosaurus Rex | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Excursionniste | 6.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Royal Time | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Front Porch | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Colloquy | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Rush to Honor | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Connecticut | 3.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.