April 27, 2022 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Big City Ralph | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Keeping the Peace | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jupi’s Lightning | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tomater Gator | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | R Goodtime Charlie | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kowboy Karma | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sophia Lauren | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | One Pair of Hands | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eighty Eight Keys | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dune Jumper | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Melitza | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Will Lemon Dance | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Soul Searcher | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Londonderry | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sheknowsthedrill | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Towson | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Angel Raphael | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Galileo’s Affair | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Blame | 5.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | West Horizen | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Abhaile | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Alignment | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Old Beau | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Smokey White | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Pari | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | That’s Right | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hotpot | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Deplane | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lea’s Road | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | King Swansboro | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Jamie Dreams | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sailor Speed | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Borracho Concho | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Talented Man | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Downtownchalybrown | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jean Valjean | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Seamialaugh | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ms Canela | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Systemic Risk | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Memphis Mafia | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cause I Said | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shesasuperfreak | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Solemn Oath | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Prince Filip | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Beaver Creek | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Captain Chazz | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Johnny Sack | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Splitzville | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Go for the Kill | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Alonzo Mosely | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bucks Are Moving | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sea Fret | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Six o’Clock Sarah | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Platinum Ice | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tangerine Dream | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Swift Factor | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Xenatown | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nana’s Boopa | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Starship Charly | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Poor No More | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Crazy Serena | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hooray for Harvey | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Six Cider | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chargin Storm | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tonka Flower | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Clear Prosperity | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Yei Yei | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hizaam | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shandian | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ironbound | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | World Gone Wild | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Midtown Rose | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Love On Fire | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Sweet Willemina | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Confirmed Genius | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Shero | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Walk Me Home | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Fleeterthan | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Social Joe | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Toledo Gold | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dadashev | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Go Skippy Go | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Singinthruthestorm | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | A Gray for Carolyn | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Slam Bang | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Oracabessa | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Prefontaine | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Outworknforakiss | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.