April 29, 2022 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Love in Paradise | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | One More Day | 20.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Summer Ash | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Catching Magic | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Principe | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | D Black Mamba | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ghost Fighter | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Twelve O’Clock | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Beast | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tulfarris (GB) | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Best Distance | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Performing Arts | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Corrado | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Punx | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tetragrammaton | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Sea Cottage (IRE) | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hidden Plan | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Days of Yore | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Refuah | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | King of Chaos | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Strasbourg | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Redjack | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Awesome Birdie | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Centsational Grace | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Nicolino | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Songteller | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cupid Austin | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Witch of Love | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Laniakea Storm | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Holy Minister | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1 | Ludington | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Rebelde | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | I’m a G Six | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Mr Tito’s | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Tune In | 2.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Benefactor | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Royal Squeeze | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 3 | Adele Kat | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Mongolian Mission | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Pardon My Heart | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Elusive Uncaptured | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Raspberry Ballet | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Centsational | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | High Arabian | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Winning At Ease | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Pearlintherough | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Kentucky Pride | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1 | Paco’s Pico | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Sensei Lawrence | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Hey Porter | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Poseidon’s Son | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Mitico | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Oskee Wow Wow | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | El Profe | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Con On the Run | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Amor Lejano (ARG) | 15.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wora | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Crack Shot | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | J P Hellish | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mai Ty One On | 1.40 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kasim | 2.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hopping Henry | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Phase Out | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Royal War | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Personal Meadow | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Free Flayme | 30.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Weight of Glory | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Venerate | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Vinny Dream | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bee by the Sea | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Loyal Louie | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sassy But Smart | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Boldness | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.