April 30, 2022 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | San Lorenzo Dash | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mr Fast Mallard | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tdz Leavingthecounty | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Amazing Blood | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | One Sweet Lover | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flyin the Red Eye | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tf One Sweet Secret | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blazin Sunset | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Freighttrain Six | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jess O Blue | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Rc Shakenmycorona | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | One Bicycle Man | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lyyra | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cats Leaving You | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Won My Heart | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sea Hero | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | El Dashingseparatist | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Beg Feature | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Keeps Comin Up Rosas | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Blood N Pepper | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Bicycle Man | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Moonya | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stronghold | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tg Cinnamon Coup | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Specials Corona | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Seven Magnum | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Jes an Angel | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | A Revenant Wave | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Butter My Perry | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tg Coup Azoom | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rain in the Dough | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Adrenalanne | 8.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thoro | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Seperate the Fire | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Kissmeinyourdreams | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | She Gone Z | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Freighttrainacumin | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Streakin Hunting Six | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | A Political Sophia | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Covid Twenty Twenty | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Highest Flyer | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Three R Cartel | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Reach Thru | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stolen Jeans | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Working for a Livin | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kellies First Dash | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shez Looking Dashin | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Corona for Gold | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Line of Fire | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Three R Game | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rf Fearless Heroine | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Makin It Big | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Diva in Prada | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mammoth Js | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jess Kissing Beau | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vf Wheely Sixty | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sugar Time Girl | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | This Eagle Is Good | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sendsation | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Drama Ali | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Coronas Margarita | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Heza Fire Jet | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Linda Is My Name | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lv Stanley Winner | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ruse Choice | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Open Me A Corona S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Black Blood | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Put Me N Coach | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Swamp Eagle | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Politically Blue | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jrs Shiney Tee | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quicksilver B | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jj Heza Fast Dash Jr | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lett It Happen | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | King Intriguing Blue | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Railroad Jimmy | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.