April 30, 2022 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Jimmy’s Mistress | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cayo Costa | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Snow Job | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | J P Cornetta | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rock Solid Words | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Indomito | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mindship Q | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Joyful Surprise | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Full of Mischief | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Can’t Be Broken | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sunspot | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Honesto | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fuerteventura | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Valiant Avenger | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Euphoria Star | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Daniel Sun | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gran Andrews | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lucago | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vladislav | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ciango | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pemberton | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Green Dot Brah | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | All for Gold | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Compass Cay | 30.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Extraction Will | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hey Hombre | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sir Cupid | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Papa Honor | 12.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Farley | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Uhtred | 20.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Long Beach Kid | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mystery Bank | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Poco Charlie | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mister Leonardo | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Til the End | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tape to Tape | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Military Drill | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ensign Parker | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Trinni Summer | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zanno | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Henry’s World | 1.80 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lontano | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lady Mechanic | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Beth’el | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Unbridled Chrome | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kenya Sun | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gone to Cabo | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dolcisima | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Apeal | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chevelita | 2.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Adios Dixie | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Backstretchbeauty | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Russian to Win | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cattin | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | God Is Love | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Steal Sunshine | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stormy Pattern | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cyberviking | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gilligan | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Starship Nugget | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Scarlett’s Flower | 30.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rubysa | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sade Purse | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Manuela | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Win Or Cellar | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bahamian Beauty | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Stacias Ruby | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mabee Luckynwild | 1.80 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pearlintherough | 5.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Septemberten | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vinnie Van Go | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Distractor | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Picking Up Pennies | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Poppy’s Pride | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big Daddy Dave | 4.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Old Time Revival | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Famous Gent | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Rough Entry | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Senor Jobim | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Real Talk | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | It’s My House | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Well Defined | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | King Cab | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Golden Juan | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Unimpeached | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Kick in the Gas | 30.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sonic Kitten | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Caribbean Gold | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Drum and Drummer | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bach | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Oriental Park | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Another Duke | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gonna Be Epic | 4.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Volte Face | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.