April 30, 2022 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Appraisal | 2.50 | 12.9 | 24-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Graves Mill Road | 4.50 | 13.8 | 26-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Funandfunny | 6.00 | 14.3 | 27-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Outcome | 3.50 | 14.8 | 28-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Violent Pass | 5.00 | 15.1 | 28-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brody Boucher | 8.00 | 15.4 | 29-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bitcoin Banker | 8.00 | 15.6 | 29-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bold Minister | 10.00 | 16.8 | 32-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Lou’s Arrow | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Cybertown | 6.00 | 13 | 25-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Risky Situation | 4.50 | 13.1 | 25-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tapped Out | 6.00 | 13.2 | 25-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Max’s Heart | 3.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Boston Wally | 8.00 | 13.7 | 26-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Peripatetic | 10.00 | 14.2 | 27-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | More Than Hamazing | 10.00 | 14.4 | 27-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Concoction | 12.00 | 14.6 | 28-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Kissofthenile | 5.00 | 15.7 | 30-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Other Times | 20.00 | 16.8 | 32-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Young o’ Daine | 30.00 | 18.7 | 35-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Royal D D | 30.00 | 18.8 | 35-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rubiginous | 3.50 | 14.1 | 27-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Reef’s Destiny | 3.50 | 14.9 | 28-1 |
| 9 | 9 | My Dominator | 4.50 | 15.3 | 29-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Marvelous Thunder | 5.00 | 15.6 | 29-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Five O One | 3.00 | 15.6 | 30-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Trophy Daddy | 12.00 | 15.8 | 30-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rusty Cage | 12.00 | 16.7 | 32-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Funny Actor | 20.00 | 17.4 | 33-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Leo Del Reo | 20.00 | 17.6 | 33-1 |
| 4 | 4 | C H Jay | 30.00 | 18.7 | 35-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Perfect Happiness | 5.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Joyful Cadence | 2.50 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Southern Grayce | 3.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Headland | 8.00 | 12.4 | 24-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Joy’s Rocket | 1.80 | 12.7 | 24-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Someone Said So | 15.00 | 13.5 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Warning Label | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Aux Arcs | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Macho Ronnie | 2.50 | 13.7 | 26-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hardscrabble | 3.50 | 14.3 | 27-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cyber Monday | 4.50 | 15.7 | 30-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hightail Cowboy | 8.00 | 16.6 | 31-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Ucantmakethistufup | 6.00 | 17.4 | 33-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cats Gotta Chance | 10.00 | 18.2 | 34-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Kinda Teton | 15.00 | 18.4 | 35-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Serendip Ruler | 20.00 | 18.4 | 35-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mo Vodka | 12.00 | 18.9 | 36-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Diesel Fuel | 20.00 | 19.1 | 36-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Heart Headed Arky | 30.00 | 21.1 | 40-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Royal de Be | 30.00 | 21.3 | 40-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tiz Rye Time | 2.00 | 13.8 | 26-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Centurion | 4.50 | 13.9 | 26-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Thunderstruck | 6.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Leading West | 3.00 | 14.1 | 27-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Toma Todo | 4.00 | 15.1 | 28-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Unidentified Man | 8.00 | 15.3 | 29-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ekati’s Verve | 12.00 | 16.1 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Speed Bias | 3.00 | 14.3 | 27-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Magnificus | 2.50 | 14.6 | 28-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rider’s Special | 3.00 | 15.6 | 29-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wildwood Z | 8.00 | 16.6 | 31-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Red Devil | 8.00 | 17.3 | 33-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pudge Boy Palace | 10.00 | 18.5 | 35-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pinch Hitter | 15.00 | 18.8 | 36-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Portsmouth | 10.00 | 19 | 36-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blame Eli | 12.00 | 19.9 | 38-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Rare Stripe | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Devil’s Tower | 4.00 | 17.4 | 33-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cumberland Avenue | 6.00 | 18.2 | 34-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Ribbons and Medals | 8.00 | 18.5 | 35-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rolling Fork | 6.00 | 18.5 | 35-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Storm Advisory | 12.00 | 19 | 36-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Reed Kan | 3.00 | 19.6 | 37-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Derby Date | 12.00 | 20.5 | 39-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Herd Immunity | 12.00 | 20.9 | 40-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Joe Frazier | 10.00 | 21.2 | 40-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wrongwayhighway | 20.00 | 22 | 42-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Deflater | 30.00 | 23 | 43-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Bachelor S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cogburn | 2.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cairama | 1.60 | 12.8 | 24-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Unified Report | 3.50 | 14.3 | 27-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ain’t Life Grand | 6.00 | 14.6 | 28-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whelen Springs | 8.00 | 15.4 | 29-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mowins | 10.00 | 16.2 | 31-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Allo Enry | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Billhill | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ev’s Sherman | 3.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bettys Cash | 3.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Skyped | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dudley | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Traffic Control | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Salty Jones | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Morning Drive | 8.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Secret Survivor | 30.00 | 14.4 | 27-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Moonshine Surfer | 30.00 | 16.6 | 31-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.