April 30, 2022 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Poolside Manners | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Simple Souvenir | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Born to Be Good | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Snow Squall | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sassy Martini | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Super Leggera | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Number One Hit | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dance for Gold | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thanks Laura | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ms. P’s Bella | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dixiewish | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rememberoldtymes | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nice Company | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Delightful Dreamer | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Serendipia | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ami’s Link | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cheeky Pint | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Antigone | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flat Out Vixen | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wicked Miah | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cefalo | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fleck | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Swirling Dancer | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moonlit Silence | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Swinging Mandy | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spider Belle | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Girl Sky | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Vespolina | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blazing Sky | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Foresters Princess | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shes the North | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fredericia | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Skinny Dippin | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Load Abroad | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zisisit (IRE) | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Salada | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | High Treason | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lincolnville Beach | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Swoop to Finish | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Constitution Gal | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Warwoman | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lady Brew | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Livin On Luv | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Crackle Candy | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Astonish | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Moqadama (IRE) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | She Makes a Point | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Song of Innocence | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Twelfth Moon | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Saratoga Vision | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bluegrass Belle | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Guileful | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Erasmo’s Girl | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Star Shoot S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Aubrieta | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Diabolic (IRE) | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Alacrity | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Parlance | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Howdyoumakeurmoney | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Beautiful Empire | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | November Fog | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Perseverancia | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | No Mo Lady | 1.40 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I Get It | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Above All Names | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rosebud’s Hope | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Classic Queen | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Twirlin | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Lady Maeve (IRE) | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Suspicious Minds | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Total Betty | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Moon Pool | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hallanvaara | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Phil in Echo | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Positive | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.