May 1, 2022 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Killargue Kelly | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Astral Weeks | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Munger | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wizard Serrat | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Glory and Victory | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | October Time | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rio Hato | 30.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Poetic Code | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Regio | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Papa Charles | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Camptown Races | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Freddy’s Music | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Simplify (ARG) | 4.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Code Name Lise | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gitana | 0.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sheza Happy Girl | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bargainaire | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nurse Judy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bailador | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nothngoodcomseasy | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Art | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shea D Capture | 20.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Son of Neolithic | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Racket | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sunset Provision | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Snow’s Island | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Radagast | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dali’s Heart | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Flat Out Cool | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Alba Mia | 30.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Little Belita | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Magnolia Road | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Latte Lover | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Twin Cause | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | J’s Star Jet | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Race Craft | 20.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stirling Drive | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Colonist | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lavery | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fly the W | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lamplighter Jack | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Yamato | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Complex System | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Our Noble Ortega | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Celestial Glaze | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Capture Mi | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Badbadbobby | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cash Express | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Readyseekgo | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ultimate Breeze | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Uranium | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Dancin Dee | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vandalia | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Z First | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Winning At Ease | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Knowwhentofoldem | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fleche d’Amour | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | California Gigi | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mamita Linda | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chasing Joy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Elusive Treat (GB) | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Span of Control | 20.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tiz Romantic | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Full Disclosure | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ghostliner | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Meetmeinkingston | 5.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Psychedelic Shack | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Dr. Duke | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ticket to Heaven | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Unbridled Glitter | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Creme Caramel | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Capridrey | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sea Lioness | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Valiant Miss | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nobody’s Secret | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Angelic Storm | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Youniverse | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Artificial Intell | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Olympic Fencer | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Myra Fleener | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.