May 4, 2022 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Open Me a Prize | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Im a Sucker for You | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ttt Jess Dashin Bye | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shesa Fast Romance | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Honkin Kk | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jp Boss Baby | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cashs Kue Ball | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jl Feature Runaway | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sarver Cove Diamond | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ttt Mid Knight | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Mp Shining Perry | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ar Eagle Fire | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rf Debs Dash N Blue | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Face of a Rogue | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ra Fast Special | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Black Mari | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jasmines Ice | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | One Fast B | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blue Louisina Fire | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Shes True Blue | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cj Leadtheway | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Paquita Perry Piloto | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Five Barr Bunny | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cos Mamma Said | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wicked and Fast | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hey Ya Tutz | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sheza Fancy Eagle | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blue Train | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tf One Sweet Wokatee | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sydney Five Bar | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Red Hot Patriot | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Biloxi Jewel | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eyesa Sweet N Racy | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jes Winnin Cartel | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wildly Untamable | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Lady Blue | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jess a Wild Shannon | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Miss Apolitical | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tdz Moms Patriot | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tmt Apollitical Babe | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jess Siete Cartel | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Princess Piloto | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Covid | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Favdashineagle | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ms Nightingale | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Bjs Five Bar | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Btrain | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Louisiana Freight | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jrs Coronas Queen | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jes Raise the Bar | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Todalu My Darlin | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flashy Bp | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jessie Corona | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | One Sweet Queen Bee | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Jeg Fascination | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Half Time Cash | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | San Lorenzo Moon | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jp Little Joann | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ms Turquoise | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Throw the Heat | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Streakin Lady Train | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Bueno | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mj Dashing Eagle | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Party Tyme | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fast I Am | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Cool Ya Jets | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ollies Fancy Cartel | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cover Fast | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Stolin Base | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Golden Chick | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Kool Kue Baby Blue | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ttt Lil Blackstreak | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Luci Blue | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jj Lucky Jess | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blood N Coronas | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jewel 63 | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Catch Me Moonin | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | First Time Pilot | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sheza Twenty Twenty | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jmg an Unquiet Mind | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.